WU

The Western Union Company

35
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

WU's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 4 points to 14% and earnings per share fell 54%. At 6.3x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 6.8x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.

WU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

WU's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WU.

WU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.3x8.6x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.3x8.6x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$6.65—
Cheap4.8x$5.02-25%
Current6.3x$6.65—
Fair6.8x$7.12+7.1%
Expensive11x$11.13+67%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WU's PE is in its fair range at 6.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.6x, in its cheap range.

WU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect WU's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$7.56
Downside-25%$5.02

Calculated from the latest close: $6.65 on Nov 12.

WU's one-year downside scenario is about twice its upside: −25% against +14%.

WU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.68Q1 2024: $1.69Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $2.74Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.65Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.36Q2 2026: $1.23Q3 2026: $1.05Forward: $1.44
Q4 2023: $1.68Q1 2024: $1.69Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $2.74Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.65Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.36Q2 2026: $1.23Q3 2026: $1.05Forward: $1.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.44+37%
Q3 2026$1.05-54%
Q2 2026$1.23-54%
Q1 2026$1.36-49%
Q4 2025$1.52-45%
Q3 2025$2.30+18%
Q2 2025$2.65+63%
Q1 2025$2.69+59%
Q4 2024$2.74+63%

WU's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.05 over the past year, against $2.74 in late 2024.

WU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $984MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $984MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B-2.3%
Q2 2026$1B-1.3%
Q1 2026$982.7M-0.1%
Q4 2025$1B-4.7%
Q3 2025$1B-0.3%
Q2 2025$1B-3.8%
Q1 2025$983.6M-6.2%
Q4 2024$1.1B+0.6%

WU's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $1B last quarter, down 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

WU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $253MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: $100M
Q4 2023: $258MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $120MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $253MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: $100M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$99.9M-60%
Q2 2026$94.6M+$102.4M
Q1 2026$102.6M-29%
Q4 2025$115.5M-3.5%
Q3 2025$252.7M+23%
Q2 2025-$7.8M+$31.1M
Q1 2025$144.8M+74%
Q4 2024$119.7M-54%

WU's free cash flow was $413M over the past year, down 19% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WU.

WU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 372MQ1 2024: 346MQ2 2024: 340MQ3 2024: 340MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 339MQ2 2025: 330MQ3 2025: 323MQ4 2025: 328MQ1 2026: 317MQ2 2026: 314MQ3 2026: 314M
Q4 2023: 372MQ1 2024: 346MQ2 2024: 340MQ3 2024: 340MQ4 2024: 341MQ1 2025: 339MQ2 2025: 330MQ3 2025: 323MQ4 2025: 328MQ1 2026: 317MQ2 2026: 314MQ3 2026: 314M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-100K shares
1 year-2.9%-9.3M shares
3 years-16%-61.5M shares
5 years-23%-94.5M shares
Available history-26%-111M shares

WU has 314M diluted shares, down 2.9% from a year ago, with $92M in buybacks over the past year.

WU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

WU's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WU.

WU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic38.7Neutral

WU's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

WU PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWUSector medianRelative
PE6.3x13x51% below
PE %426321 pts below

WU is trading at 6.3x earnings, a 51% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

WU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.315.4% above
20 week MA$6.964.5% below
50 week MA$8.1719% below
100 week MA$8.7724% below
200 week MA$10.537% below

WU has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 37% below its 200-week average.

WU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.4$21.9-20%
2021$21.9$17.8-19%
2022$17.8$13.8-22%
2023$13.8$11.9-14%
2024$11.9$10.7-10%
2025$10.7$9.40-12%
2026 YTD$9.40$6.65-29%

WU has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 29% so far in 2026.

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