JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VLY
Valley National Bancorp
VLY has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
VLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
VLY's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like VLY.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM has the edge over VLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
VLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.5x | $10.70 | -26% |
| Forward | 9.8x | $14.38 | — |
| Current | 11x | $14.38 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $14.81 | +3% |
| Expensive | 13x | $16.91 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VLY's PE is in its fair range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.8x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
VLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
VLY has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
VLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.46 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.26 | +43% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.18 | +51% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.11 | +61% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.01 | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.88 | +42% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | +9.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.69 | -19% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.69 | -27% |
VLY earned $1.26 per share over the past year, up 43% from the year before.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM's operating margin was 40% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
VLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $584.2M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $560.7M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $540.4M | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $541.2M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $511.1M | +8.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $495M | +9.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $478.4M | +5.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $474.2M | +5.4% |
VLY has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 42% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 39% | +4.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | +9.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | +22 points |
| Q3 2025 | 41% | +14 points |
| Q2 2025 | 35% | +14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 29% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | -1 points |
VLY has the edge over JPM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
VLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $378.4M | +16011% |
| Q2 2026 | $160.2M | +2.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $208.2M | +$228.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $187.5M | -51% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.3M | +$162.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $156M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | -$20.2M | -121% |
| Q4 2024 | $385.8M | +$668.8M |
VLY has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over VLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
VLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -691K shares |
| 1 year | -1.3% | -7.4M shares |
| 3 years | +9.2% | +47M shares |
| 5 years | +36% | +147M shares |
| Available history | +55% | +197M shares |
VLY has 556M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago, with $153M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $20.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $51.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $46.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $12M |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $390,000 |
VLY spent $153M buying back its own shares over the past year, about nine times what it spent the year before.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
VLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
VLY has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
VLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 67.1 | Neutral |
VLY's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
VLY PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | VLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 12% below |
| PE % | 44 | 63 | 19 pts below |
VLY has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.
VLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.5 | 6.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $14.0 | 2.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $13.3 | 8.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $11.5 | 26% above |
| 200 week MA | $10.2 | 42% above |
VLY has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.
VLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.4 | $9.71 | -15% |
| 2021 | $9.71 | $13.6 | +40% |
| 2022 | $13.6 | $11.5 | -15% |
| 2023 | $11.5 | $10.9 | -5.4% |
| 2024 | $10.9 | $9.12 | -16% |
| 2025 | $9.12 | $12.0 | +31% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.0 | $14.4 | +20% |
VLY has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.