JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over VCTR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

VCTR

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.

54
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VCTR offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

VCTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

VCTR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like VCTR.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over VCTR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

VCTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.9x$43.06-65%
Fair11x$59.64-52%
Forward15x$124—
Expensive17x$92.20-26%
Current23x$124—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VCTR's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

VCTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

VCTR has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VCTR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VCTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$148.28
Downside-19%$100.32

Calculated from the latest close: $124.44 on Nov 12.

VCTR trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

VCTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.12Q1 2024: $3.25Q2 2024: $3.54Q3 2024: $4.01Q4 2024: $4.38Q1 2025: $4.50Q2 2025: $4.06Q3 2025: $3.93Q4 2025: $4.08Q1 2026: $4.45Q2 2026: $5.45Q3 2026: $5.45Forward: $8.47
Q4 2023: $3.12Q1 2024: $3.25Q2 2024: $3.54Q3 2024: $4.01Q4 2024: $4.38Q1 2025: $4.50Q2 2025: $4.06Q3 2025: $3.93Q4 2025: $4.08Q1 2026: $4.45Q2 2026: $5.45Q3 2026: $5.45Forward: $8.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.47+55%
Q3 2026$5.45+39%
Q2 2026$5.45+34%
Q1 2026$4.45-1.1%
Q4 2025$4.08-6.8%
Q3 2025$3.93-2%
Q2 2025$4.06+15%
Q1 2025$4.50+38%
Q4 2024$4.38+40%

VCTR earned $5.45 per share over the past year, up 39% from the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

VCTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $206MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $226MQ4 2024: $232MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $351MQ3 2025: $361MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $388MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $397M
Q4 2023: $206MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $226MQ4 2024: $232MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $351MQ3 2025: $361MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $388MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $397M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$396.6M+9.8%
Q2 2026$435.4M+24%
Q1 2026$388M+77%
Q4 2025$374.1M+61%
Q3 2025$361.2M+60%
Q2 2025$351.2M+60%
Q1 2025$219.6M+1.7%
Q4 2024$232.4M+13%

VCTR has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

VCTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $144MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $222M
Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $79MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $144MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $222M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$222.4M+35%
Q2 2026$134.2M+$141.7M
Q1 2026$120.1M+51%
Q4 2025$144.5M+58%
Q3 2025$164.8M+66%
Q2 2025-$7.5M-109%
Q1 2025$79.5M+17%
Q4 2024$91.7M-4.8%

VCTR has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

VCTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-311K shares
1 year-6.7%-4.5M shares
3 years-7.7%-5.2M shares
5 years-16%-11.6M shares
Available history-15%-11M shares

VCTR has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over VCTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VCTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20251.7xHealthy
Q4 20241.8xHealthy

VCTR's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like VCTR.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

VCTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.9Overbought
Stochastic72.5Neutral

VCTR's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over VCTR on valuation relative to its sector.

VCTR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricVCTRSector medianRelative
PE23x13x75% above
PE %996336 pts above

VCTR is trading at 23x earnings, a 75% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

VCTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$113.110% above
20 week MA$108.515% above
50 week MA$87.343% above
100 week MA$75.764% above
200 week MA$58.3114% above

VCTR has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

VCTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.9$23.8+14%
2021$23.8$36.7+54%
2022$36.7$27.2-26%
2023$27.2$34.4+27%
2024$34.4$66.3+92%
2025$66.3$64.3-3%
2026 YTD$64.3$124.4+94%

VCTR has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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