JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
UMBF
UMB Financial Corporation
UMBF has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
UMBF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
UMBF's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UMBF.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
UMBF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.7x | $133 | — |
| Cheap | 10x | $135 | +0.9% |
| Current | 10x | $133 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $160 | +20% |
| Expensive | 14x | $188 | +41% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UMBF has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
UMBF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UMBF, with profitability improving.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
UMBF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.71 | +2.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $13.37 | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.17 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.43 | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.29 | +3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.83 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.70 | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.95 | +5.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.99 | +25% |
UMBF has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM's operating margin was 40% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
UMBF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $772.4M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $778M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $739.2M | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $720.9M | +66% |
| Q3 2025 | $678.3M | +67% |
| Q2 2025 | $689.2M | +77% |
| Q1 2025 | $563.8M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $434.2M | +17% |
UMBF has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | +9.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +5.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +28 points |
| Q4 2025 | 38% | +4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 35% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 40% | +7.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | -17 points |
| Q4 2024 | 33% | +12 points |
UMBF has the edge over JPM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
UMBF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $358.9M | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $330.8M | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $356.8M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $95.3M | +$172.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $257.8M | +119% |
| Q2 2025 | $270.8M | +154% |
| Q1 2025 | $354.2M | +559% |
| Q4 2024 | -$77.1M | -195% |
UMBF has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over UMBF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
UMBF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +112K shares |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +137K shares |
| 3 years | +57% | +27.8M shares |
| 5 years | +57% | +27.8M shares |
| Available history | +56% | +27.4M shares |
UMBF has 77M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $5.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $32.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $79,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $290,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $15.4M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
UMBF spent $38M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 116% from the year before.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
UMBF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -4.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -9.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -13.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -17.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -13.6x | Net Cash |
UMBF has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
UMBF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 30.0 | Neutral |
UMBF's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
UMBF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | UMBF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 13x | 23% below |
| PE % | 15 | 63 | 48 pts below |
UMBF has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.
UMBF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $133.2 | 0.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $139.6 | 4.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $129.9 | 2.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $119.4 | 12% above |
| 200 week MA | $100.2 | 33% above |
UMBF's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.
UMBF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $68.8 | $69.2 | +0.5% |
| 2021 | $69.2 | $105.2 | +52% |
| 2022 | $105.2 | $82.2 | -22% |
| 2023 | $82.2 | $83.6 | +1.7% |
| 2024 | $83.6 | $113.7 | +36% |
| 2025 | $113.7 | $118.9 | +4.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.9 | $133.5 | +12% |
UMBF has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.