JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
UFCS
United Fire Group, Inc.
UFCS has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
UFCS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
UFCS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UFCS.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
UFCS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.9x | $46.41 | -9.5% |
| Current | 9.8x | $51.30 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $59.07 | +15% |
| Forward | 11x | $51.30 | — |
| Expensive | 44x | $229 | +347% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UFCS has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
JPM has the edge over UFCS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
UFCS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UFCS, with profitability holding steady.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
UFCS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.63 | -11% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.23 | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.38 | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.96 | +95% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.48 | +87% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.25 | +119% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.52 | +146% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.54 | +$3.23 |
| Q4 2024 | $2.39 | +$3.57 |
UFCS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.23 over the past year, up 23% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over UFCS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
UFCS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $391.6M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $383.7M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $369.4M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $365.8M | +9.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $354M | +9.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $335.5M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $331.1M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $333.2M | +16% |
UFCS has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7% | +9.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.6% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +3.5 points |
UFCS's operating margin was 11% last quarter, down 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
UFCS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $101.1M | +66% |
| Q2 2026 | $34.2M | -36% |
| Q1 2026 | $56.6M | +59% |
| Q4 2025 | $119.8M | -23% |
| Q3 2025 | $60.8M | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $53.4M | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.7M | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $156.4M | +603% |
UFCS has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over UFCS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
UFCS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +271K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -201K shares |
| 3 years | +2.3% | +587K shares |
| 5 years | +4.3% | +1.1M shares |
| Available history | +2.3% | +584K shares |
UFCS has 26M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | $1,000 |
| Q3 2021 | $1M |
| Q2 2021 | $1M |
| Q1 2021 | $7,000 |
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
UFCS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
UFCS has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
UFCS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.4 | Neutral |
UFCS's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
UFCS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | UFCS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.8x | 13x | 25% below |
| PE % | 31 | 63 | 32 pts below |
UFCS has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM has the edge over UFCS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
UFCS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $54.1 | 5.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $53.7 | 4.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $45.5 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $37.3 | 38% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.1 | 71% above |
UFCS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 71% above its 200-week average.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.
UFCS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $43.2 | $24.5 | -43% |
| 2021 | $24.5 | $23.3 | -4.9% |
| 2022 | $23.3 | $28.4 | +22% |
| 2023 | $28.4 | $20.1 | -29% |
| 2024 | $20.1 | $28.5 | +42% |
| 2025 | $28.5 | $36.4 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.4 | $51.3 | +41% |
UFCS has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.