JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over SYF overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SYF

Synchrony Financial

53
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SYF offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

SYF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SYF's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SYF.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over SYF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SYF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.2x$49.53-31%
Fair7x$67.12-6.3%
Forward7.1x$71.66—
Current7.5x$71.66—
Expensive8.9x$85.17+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SYF's PE is in its fair range at 7.5x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.1x next year's earnings.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over SYF on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

SYF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SYF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SYF, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SYF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$89.70
Downside-14%$61.62

Calculated from the latest close: $71.66 on Nov 12.

SYF trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

SYF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $6.98Q2 2024: $7.21Q3 2024: $7.67Q4 2024: $8.55Q1 2025: $7.30Q2 2025: $8.25Q3 2025: $9.17Q4 2025: $9.28Q1 2026: $9.66Q2 2026: $9.75Q3 2026: $9.57Forward: $10.03
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $6.98Q2 2024: $7.21Q3 2024: $7.67Q4 2024: $8.55Q1 2025: $7.30Q2 2025: $8.25Q3 2025: $9.17Q4 2025: $9.28Q1 2026: $9.66Q2 2026: $9.75Q3 2026: $9.57Forward: $10.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.03+4.8%
Q3 2026$9.57+4.4%
Q2 2026$9.75+18%
Q1 2026$9.66+32%
Q4 2025$9.28+8.5%
Q3 2025$9.17+20%
Q2 2025$8.25+14%
Q1 2025$7.30+4.6%
Q4 2024$8.55+65%

SYF has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over SYF on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SYF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $5.6BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $4.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4.7BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $5.6BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $4.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4.7BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+1.4%
Q2 2026$4.7B+2.3%
Q1 2026$4.8B+3.4%
Q4 2025$4.9B+3.5%
Q3 2025$4.8B+2.5%
Q2 2025$4.6B+2.6%
Q1 2025$4.6B-17%
Q4 2024$4.7B+4%

SYF's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $4.9B last quarter, up 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

SYF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B-5.3%
Q2 2026$2.4B-5.5%
Q1 2026$2.2B-0.8%
Q4 2025$2.5B+4.3%
Q3 2025$2.6B-4.6%
Q2 2025$2.6B+3.1%
Q1 2025$2.2B-2.1%
Q4 2024$2.4B+1.6%

SYF has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

SYF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 424MQ1 2024: 408MQ2 2024: 403MQ3 2024: 397MQ4 2024: 401MQ1 2025: 389MQ2 2025: 379MQ3 2025: 370MQ4 2025: 374MQ1 2026: 346MQ2 2026: 334MQ3 2026: 322M
Q4 2023: 424MQ1 2024: 408MQ2 2024: 403MQ3 2024: 397MQ4 2024: 401MQ1 2025: 389MQ2 2025: 379MQ3 2025: 370MQ4 2025: 374MQ1 2026: 346MQ2 2026: 334MQ3 2026: 322M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.5%-11.7M shares
1 year-13%-47.5M shares
3 years-23%-96M shares
5 years-43%-243M shares
Available history-52%-351M shares

SYF has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

SYF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low

SYF has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

SYF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.1Neutral
Stochastic33.4Neutral

SYF's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SYF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSYFSector medianRelative
PE7.5x13x42% below
PE %58635 pts below

SYF has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over SYF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SYF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.22.1% below
20 week MA$75.24.8% below
50 week MA$75.04.4% below
100 week MA$70.12.2% above
200 week MA$55.130% above

SYF has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 30% above its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over SYF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SYF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.3$34.0-6.4%
2021$34.0$46.2+36%
2022$46.2$32.8-29%
2023$32.8$38.2+17%
2024$38.2$65.9+73%
2025$65.9$86.0+30%
2026 YTD$86.0$71.7-17%

SYF has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

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