JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SMBC
Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.
SMBC has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
SMBC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SMBC's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SMBC.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
SMBC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.1x | $61.53 | -13% |
| Current | 10x | $70.94 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $71.38 | +0.6% |
| Forward | 11x | $70.94 | — |
| Expensive | 12x | $81.29 | +15% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SMBC has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
JPM has the edge over SMBC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SMBC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SMBC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
SMBC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.69 | -1.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.78 | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.43 | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.99 | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.78 | +26% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.46 | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.18 | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.98 | +8.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.58 | +20% |
SMBC has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM's operating margin was 40% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
SMBC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $53.1M | +8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $51.8M | +8.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $50.2M | +8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $49.6M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $49M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $47.6M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $46.1M | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $45M | +12% |
SMBC has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 44% | +4.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 44% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 46% | +3.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +3.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 43% | +7.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 43% | +4.4 points |
SMBC has the edge over JPM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
SMBC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.6M | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.5M | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.5M | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.2M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.4M | +80% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.8M | +94% |
| Q1 2025 | $22.7M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $18.2M | +17% |
SMBC has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over SMBC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
SMBC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.1% | -119K shares |
| 1 year | -2.3% | -260K shares |
| 3 years | -2.5% | -286K shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +2.1M shares |
| Available history | +20% | +1.8M shares |
SMBC has 11M diluted shares, down 2.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2020 | — |
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
SMBC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 10.1x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
SMBC has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
SMBC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 21.8 | Neutral |
SMBC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
SMBC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SMBC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 13x | 20% below |
| PE % | 47 | 63 | 16 pts below |
SMBC has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM has the edge over SMBC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SMBC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $71.1 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $73.7 | 3.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $68.5 | 3.6% above |
| 100 week MA | $61.5 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $53.8 | 32% above |
SMBC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 32% above its 200-week average.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.
SMBC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $38.2 | $31.3 | -18% |
| 2021 | $31.3 | $50.4 | +61% |
| 2022 | $50.4 | $46.0 | -8.8% |
| 2023 | $46.0 | $53.4 | +16% |
| 2024 | $53.4 | $57.8 | +8.3% |
| 2025 | $57.8 | $60.4 | +4.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.4 | $70.9 | +18% |
SMBC has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.