JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over SFNC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
SFNC
Simmons First National Corporation
SFNC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
SFNC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SFNC's profitability is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SFNC.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM has the edge over SFNC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SFNC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.4x | $13.58 | -42% |
| Forward | 10x | $23.39 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $18.91 | -19% |
| Current | 15x | $23.39 | — |
| Expensive | 16x | $25.35 | +8.4% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SFNC's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
SFNC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SFNC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
SFNC has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 18% for JPM versus SFNC up 58%.
SFNC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.27 | +41% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.27 | +6.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.16 | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.21 | -12% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.02 | -44% |
| Q2 2024 | $1.19 | -43% |
| Q1 2024 | $1.33 | -28% |
| Q4 2023 | $1.38 | -33% |
| Q3 2023 | $1.83 | 0% |
SFNC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.61 over the past year, against $2.58 in early 2020.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
SFNC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 8.1% for JPM versus up 17% for SFNC.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM's operating margin was 40% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
SFNC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $248.6M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $241.4M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $249M | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $214.2M | +8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $209.6M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $208.5M | +17% |
| Q3 2024 | $174.8M | -11% |
| Q2 2024 | $197.2M | -5.3% |
SFNC's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $251M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
SFNC has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 4.5% versus its history, compared with JPM at down 229%.
SFNC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $125.5M | +89% |
| Q1 2026 | $34M | +50% |
| Q4 2025 | $105.7M | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $66.3M | -8.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $22.6M | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $72.3M | -83% |
| Q3 2024 | $187.7M | +$234M |
| Q2 2024 | $72.7M | +40% |
SFNC's free cash flow was $324M over the past year, down 7.2% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SFNC.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over SFNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
SFNC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -270K shares |
| 1 year | +15% | +18.6M shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +17.7M shares |
| 5 years | +33% | +36.2M shares |
| Available history | +47% | +46.3M shares |
SFNC has 145M diluted shares, up 15% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $75,000 |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | $323,000 |
| Q3 2023 | $20M |
| Q2 2023 | $20M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
SFNC Net Leverage
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
SFNC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.2 | Neutral |
SFNC's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM has the edge over SFNC on valuation relative to its sector.
SFNC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SFNC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 12% above |
| PE % | 79 | 63 | 16 pts above |
SFNC is trading at 15x earnings, a 12% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.
SFNC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $23.0 | 1.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $23.1 | 1.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $21.5 | 8.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $20.7 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $19.9 | 18% above |
SFNC has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.
SFNC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $26.8 | $21.1 | -21% |
| 2021 | $21.1 | $29.3 | +39% |
| 2022 | $29.3 | $21.5 | -27% |
| 2023 | $21.5 | $19.8 | -7.7% |
| 2024 | $19.8 | $22.4 | +13% |
| 2025 | $22.4 | $19.2 | -14% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.2 | $23.4 | +22% |
SFNC has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.