SFNC

Simmons First National Corporation

52
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

SFNC's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 15x earnings, above its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SFNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SFNC's profitability is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SFNC.

SFNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.4x$13.58-42%
Forward10x$23.39—
Fair12x$18.91-19%
Current15x$23.39—
Expensive16x$25.35+8.4%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SFNC's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

SFNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SFNC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SFNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$28.57
Downside-13%$20.35

Calculated from the latest close: $23.39 on Nov 12.

SFNC's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +22% against −13%.

SFNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.38Q1 2024: $1.33Q2 2024: $1.19Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.61Forward: $2.27
Q4 2023: $1.38Q1 2024: $1.33Q2 2024: $1.19Q3 2024: $1.02Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2026: $1.61Forward: $2.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.27+41%
Q2 2025$1.27+6.7%
Q1 2025$1.16-13%
Q4 2024$1.21-12%
Q3 2024$1.02-44%
Q2 2024$1.19-43%
Q1 2024$1.33-28%
Q4 2023$1.38-33%
Q3 2023$1.830%

SFNC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.61 over the past year, against $2.58 in early 2020.

SFNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $178MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $209MQ1 2025: $210MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $249MQ1 2026: $241MQ2 2026: $249MQ3 2026: $251M
Q4 2023: $178MQ1 2024: $195MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $209MQ1 2025: $210MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $249MQ1 2026: $241MQ2 2026: $249MQ3 2026: $251M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$248.6M+16%
Q1 2026$241.4M+15%
Q4 2025$249M+19%
Q2 2025$214.2M+8.6%
Q1 2025$209.6M+7.4%
Q4 2024$208.5M+17%
Q3 2024$174.8M-11%
Q2 2024$197.2M-5.3%

SFNC's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $251M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

SFNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $126MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $126MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$125.5M+89%
Q1 2026$34M+50%
Q4 2025$105.7M+46%
Q2 2025$66.3M-8.8%
Q1 2025$22.6M-53%
Q4 2024$72.3M-83%
Q3 2024$187.7M+$234M
Q2 2024$72.7M+40%

SFNC's free cash flow was $324M over the past year, down 7.2% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SFNC.

SFNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 126MQ2 2025: 126MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 145MQ2 2026: 145MQ3 2026: 145M
Q4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 126MQ2 2025: 126MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 145MQ2 2026: 145MQ3 2026: 145M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-270K shares
1 year+15%+18.6M shares
3 years+14%+17.7M shares
5 years+33%+36.2M shares
Available history+47%+46.3M shares

SFNC has 145M diluted shares, up 15% from a year ago.

SFNC Net Leverage

SFNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.4Neutral
Stochastic57.2Neutral

SFNC's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

SFNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSFNCSector medianRelative
PE15x13x12% above
PE %796316 pts above

SFNC is trading at 15x earnings, a 12% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SFNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.01.9% above
20 week MA$23.11.3% above
50 week MA$21.58.8% above
100 week MA$20.713% above
200 week MA$19.918% above

SFNC is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% above its 200-week average.

SFNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.8$21.1-21%
2021$21.1$29.3+39%
2022$29.3$21.5-27%
2023$21.5$19.8-7.7%
2024$19.8$22.4+13%
2025$22.4$19.2-14%
2026 YTD$19.2$23.4+22%

SFNC has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 22% so far in 2026.

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