JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SFBS

ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.

68
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SFBS has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

SFBS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

SFBS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SFBS.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

SFBS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.7x13x20x27x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.7x13x20x27x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$41.04—
Cheap13x$40.25-1.9%
Current13x$41.04—
Fair16x$51.01+24%
Expensive21x$65.67+60%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SFBS has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

SFBS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

SFBS has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SFBS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SFBS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$52.40
Downside-14%$35.14

Calculated from the latest close: $41.04 on Nov 12.

SFBS trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

SFBS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.90Q1 2024: $1.82Q2 2024: $1.81Q3 2024: $1.87Q4 2024: $2.08Q1 2025: $2.20Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $2.33Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $2.71Q2 2026: $2.93Q3 2026: $3.13Forward: $3.43
Q4 2023: $1.90Q1 2024: $1.82Q2 2024: $1.81Q3 2024: $1.87Q4 2024: $2.08Q1 2025: $2.20Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $2.33Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $2.71Q2 2026: $2.93Q3 2026: $3.13Forward: $3.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.43+9.5%
Q3 2026$3.13+34%
Q2 2026$2.93+28%
Q1 2026$2.71+23%
Q4 2025$2.53+22%
Q3 2025$2.33+25%
Q2 2025$2.29+27%
Q1 2025$2.20+21%
Q4 2024$2.08+9.5%

SFBS has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

SFBS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $111MQ2 2024: $115MQ3 2024: $124MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $132MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $162MQ1 2026: $159MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $173M
Q4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $111MQ2 2024: $115MQ3 2024: $124MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $132MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $162MQ1 2026: $159MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $173M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$172.9M+27%
Q2 2026$168.5M+28%
Q1 2026$159M+21%
Q4 2025$162.2M+23%
Q3 2025$136.3M+10%
Q2 2025$132.1M+15%
Q1 2025$131.8M+18%
Q4 2024$132M+21%

SFBS has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

SFBS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $141MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $70MQ2 2026: $163MQ3 2026: $82M
Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $141MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $70MQ2 2026: $163MQ3 2026: $82M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$82.4M-42%
Q2 2026$163.1M+141%
Q1 2026$70.1M+46%
Q4 2025$98.8M+47%
Q3 2025$140.9M+68%
Q2 2025$67.6M+40%
Q1 2025$48M-10%
Q4 2024$67.2M-26%

SFBS has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over SFBS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SFBS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 109MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 109MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 109MQ4 2025: 109MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 109MQ3 2026: 109M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 109MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 109MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 109MQ4 2025: 109MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 109MQ3 2026: 109M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+26.2K shares
1 year+0.1%+96.1K shares
3 years+0.3%+371K shares
5 years+0.4%+477K shares
Available history+1.1%+1.2M shares

SFBS has 109M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

SFBS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

SFBS has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

SFBS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic38.6Neutral

SFBS's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SFBS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSFBSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.5% above
PE %186345 pts below

SFBS has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

SFBS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.41.7% above
20 week MA$42.22.8% below
50 week MA$40.31.8% above
100 week MA$40.12.3% above
200 week MA$35.914% above

SFBS's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 14% above its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

SFBS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.9$20.1+6.7%
2021$20.1$43.7+117%
2022$43.7$34.4-21%
2023$34.4$33.3-3.1%
2024$33.3$43.3+30%
2025$43.3$36.8-15%
2026 YTD$36.8$41.0+12%

SFBS has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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