JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over SAFT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
SAFT
Safety Insurance Group, Inc.
SAFT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
SAFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SAFT's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SAFT.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM has the edge over SAFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SAFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 10x | $47.86 | -54% |
| Fair | 16x | $76.71 | -26% |
| Current | 22x | $104 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $116 | +11% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SAFT's PE is in its expensive range at 22x.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
SAFT Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for SAFT to show an outlook.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
SAFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.78 | -19% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.64 | -19% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.23 | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.70 | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.90 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.72 | +65% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.90 | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.78 | +273% |
SAFT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.78 over the past year, against $11.71 in early 2021.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over SAFT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SAFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $327.8M | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $325.7M | +3% |
| Q1 2026 | $314.7M | +4.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $319.3M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $326.6M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $316.3M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $301.4M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $286.7M | +11% |
SAFT has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.7% | -15 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | +4.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.4% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.5% | -2.6 points |
SAFT's operating margin was 12% last quarter, up 0.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
SAFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $56.7M | -34% |
| Q2 2026 | $37.7M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.9M | -764% |
| Q4 2025 | $71.4M | +42% |
| Q3 2025 | $85.5M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $32.3M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.8M | +$27M |
| Q4 2024 | $50.3M | +45% |
SAFT has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over SAFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
SAFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +35.3K shares |
| 1 year | -1.3% | -185K shares |
| 3 years | -0.6% | -88.5K shares |
| 5 years | -3.2% | -486K shares |
| Available history | -4.9% | -744K shares |
SAFT has 15M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | $14.6M |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | $17.9M |
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
SAFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
SAFT has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
SAFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 77.5 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 81.8 | Overbought |
SAFT's weekly RSI is 77 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM has the edge over SAFT on valuation relative to its sector.
SAFT PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SAFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 13x | 68% above |
| PE % | 68 | 63 | 5 pts above |
SAFT is trading at 22x earnings, a 68% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.
SAFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.0 | 0.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $99.5 | 4.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $84.8 | 23% above |
| 100 week MA | $80.4 | 30% above |
| 200 week MA | $79.1 | 32% above |
SAFT has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.
SAFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $92.5 | $77.8 | -16% |
| 2021 | $77.8 | $82.1 | +5.5% |
| 2022 | $82.1 | $88.8 | +8.1% |
| 2023 | $88.8 | $76.0 | -14% |
| 2024 | $76.0 | $82.0 | +7.9% |
| 2025 | $82.0 | $78.4 | -4.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $78.4 | $104.3 | +33% |
SAFT has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.