JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over RWAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RWAY

Runway Growth Finance Corp.

38
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation6/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

RWAY trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

RWAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

RWAY's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RWAY.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over RWAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RWAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.9x$6.66—
Cheap6.4x$1.02-85%
Fair11x$1.76-74%
Expensive15x$2.45-63%
Current42x$6.66—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RWAY's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

RWAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RWAY, but weaker profitability.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RWAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RWAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$8.69
Downside-23%$5.14

Calculated from the latest close: $6.66 on Nov 12.

RWAY trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over RWAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RWAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $1.03Q4 2024: $1.89Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.35
Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $0.75Q3 2024: $1.03Q4 2024: $1.89Q1 2025: $1.64Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.45Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $1.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.35+745%
Q3 2026$0.16-89%
Q2 2026$0.12-94%
Q1 2026-$0.08-105%
Q4 2025$0.93-51%
Q3 2025$1.45+41%
Q2 2025$1.88+151%
Q1 2025$1.64+50%
Q4 2024$1.89+73%

RWAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.16 over the past year, against $1.89 in late 2024.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 8.1% for JPM versus down 64% for RWAY.

RWAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$3.2M-64%
Q1 2022$5.7M-49%
Q4 2021$20.9M-6.4%
Q3 2021$13.1M+7.2%
Q2 2021$9M-39%
Q1 2021$11.3M+267%

RWAY's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $3M last quarter, down 64% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

RWAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$62MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: −$297,000Q3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$194MQ3 2026: $150M
Q4 2023: −$62MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: −$39MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: −$297,000Q3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$194MQ3 2026: $150M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$150.2M+63%
Q2 2026-$194.3M-$194.1M
Q1 2026$5.9M-92%
Q4 2025$20.6M+49%
Q3 2025$92.4M+257%
Q2 2025-$297K+$38.3M
Q1 2025$73.6M+7.2%
Q4 2024$13.9M+$75.5M

RWAY has the edge over JPM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over RWAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RWAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-188K shares
1 year+16%+5.7M shares
3 years+3.4%+1.4M shares
5 years+26%+8.7M shares
Available history+1.2%+506K shares

RWAY has 42M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

RWAY Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20225.4xHigh
Q1 20223.1xElevated
Q4 20211.5xHealthy
Q3 20211.7xHealthy
Q2 20212.4xModerate
Q1 20212.5xModerate

RWAY's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RWAY.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

RWAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic72.1Neutral

RWAY's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over RWAY on valuation relative to its sector.

RWAY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRWAYSector medianRelative
PE42x13x220% above
PE %946430 pts above

RWAY is trading at 42x earnings, a 220% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over RWAY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RWAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.551.7% above
20 week MA$6.335.2% above
50 week MA$7.065.7% below
100 week MA$8.7424% below
200 week MA$10.436% below

RWAY has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 36% below its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over RWAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RWAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$12.5$13.4+7.3%
2022$13.4$12.2-9.4%
2023$12.2$12.6+3.6%
2024$12.6$10.9-13%
2025$10.9$8.93-18%
2026 YTD$8.93$6.66-25%

RWAY has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 25% so far in 2026.

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