JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over RLI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
RLI
RLI Corp.
RLI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
RLI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
RLI's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RLI.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM has the edge over RLI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
RLI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $51.93 | -25% |
| Current | 16x | $69.12 | — |
| Fair | 19x | $81.55 | +18% |
| Forward | 25x | $69.12 | — |
| Expensive | 31x | $134 | +94% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RLI's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 25x, in its expensive range.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
JPM has the edge over RLI on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
RLI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RLI's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM has the edge over RLI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RLI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.73 | -36% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.30 | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.77 | +37% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.29 | +41% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.37 | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.81 | -16% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.49 | -4.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.04 | -16% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.74 | +13% |
RLI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.30 over the past year, against $7.79 in mid-2023.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM has the edge over RLI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over RLI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RLI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $477M | -6.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $575.6M | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $423.9M | +4% |
| Q4 2025 | $465.7M | +6.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $509.3M | +8.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $499.8M | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $407.7M | -8.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $439.1M | +1.3% |
RLI's revenue is growing: $477M last quarter, down 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | -9.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +5.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 24% | +14 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | +6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 31% | +6.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | -17 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -22 points |
RLI's operating margin was 21% last quarter, down 9.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
RLI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $192.4M | +8.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $142.4M | -18% |
| Q1 2026 | $41.8M | -59% |
| Q4 2025 | $155M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $177.8M | -19% |
| Q2 2025 | $173.4M | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $102.5M | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $127.6M | +4.9% |
RLI has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over RLI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
RLI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +91K shares |
| 1 year | -0.1% | -59K shares |
| 3 years | +0.1% | +121K shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +873K shares |
| Available history | +1.9% | +1.7M shares |
RLI has 92M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.3M |
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
RLI Net Leverage
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
RLI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 82.5 | Overbought |
RLI's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM has the edge over RLI on valuation relative to its sector.
RLI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | RLI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 13x | 23% above |
| PE % | 27 | 63 | 36 pts below |
RLI is trading at 16x earnings, a 23% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.
RLI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $62.0 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $62.2 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $59.6 | 16% above |
| 100 week MA | $65.5 | 5.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $68.1 | 1.5% above |
RLI has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.
RLI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $44.9 | $51.9 | +16% |
| 2021 | $51.9 | $54.7 | +5.4% |
| 2022 | $54.7 | $66.9 | +22% |
| 2023 | $66.9 | $66.6 | -0.4% |
| 2024 | $66.6 | $83.0 | +25% |
| 2025 | $83.0 | $64.7 | -22% |
| 2026 YTD | $64.7 | $69.1 | +6.8% |
RLI has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.