RLI

RLI Corp.

52
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

RLI's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 2 points to 25%, while revenue grew 4.6%. At 16x earnings, it's trading below its usual 19x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

RLI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

RLI's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RLI.

RLI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x63x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x63x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$51.93-25%
Current16x$69.12—
Fair19x$81.55+18%
Forward25x$69.12—
Expensive31x$134+94%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RLI's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 25x, in its expensive range.

RLI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RLI's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

RLI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$75.71
Downside-22%$53.64

Calculated from the latest close: $69.12 on Nov 12.

RLI's one-year downside scenario is more than twice its upside: −22% against +9.5%.

RLI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.31Q1 2024: $3.62Q2 2024: $3.66Q3 2024: $4.54Q4 2024: $3.74Q1 2025: $3.04Q2 2025: $3.49Q3 2025: $3.81Q4 2025: $4.37Q1 2026: $4.29Q2 2026: $4.77Q3 2026: $4.30Forward: $2.73
Q4 2023: $3.31Q1 2024: $3.62Q2 2024: $3.66Q3 2024: $4.54Q4 2024: $3.74Q1 2025: $3.04Q2 2025: $3.49Q3 2025: $3.81Q4 2025: $4.37Q1 2026: $4.29Q2 2026: $4.77Q3 2026: $4.30Forward: $2.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.73-36%
Q3 2026$4.30+13%
Q2 2026$4.77+37%
Q1 2026$4.29+41%
Q4 2025$4.37+17%
Q3 2025$3.81-16%
Q2 2025$3.49-4.6%
Q1 2025$3.04-16%
Q4 2024$3.74+13%

RLI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.30 over the past year, against $7.79 in mid-2023.

RLI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $434MQ1 2024: $445MQ2 2024: $416MQ3 2024: $470MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $408MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $424MQ2 2026: $576MQ3 2026: $477M
Q4 2023: $434MQ1 2024: $445MQ2 2024: $416MQ3 2024: $470MQ4 2024: $439MQ1 2025: $408MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $424MQ2 2026: $576MQ3 2026: $477M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$477M-6.3%
Q2 2026$575.6M+15%
Q1 2026$423.9M+4%
Q4 2025$465.7M+6.1%
Q3 2025$509.3M+8.4%
Q2 2025$499.8M+20%
Q1 2025$407.7M-8.4%
Q4 2024$439.1M+1.3%

RLI's revenue is growing: $477M last quarter, down 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RLI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $219MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $178MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $142MQ3 2026: $192M
Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $70MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $219MQ4 2024: $128MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $178MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $142MQ3 2026: $192M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$192.4M+8.2%
Q2 2026$142.4M-18%
Q1 2026$41.8M-59%
Q4 2025$155M+21%
Q3 2025$177.8M-19%
Q2 2025$173.4M+25%
Q1 2025$102.5M+47%
Q4 2024$127.6M+4.9%

RLI's free cash flow was $532M over the past year, down 8.6% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RLI.

RLI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 92M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 93MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+91K shares
1 year-0.1%-59K shares
3 years+0.1%+121K shares
5 years+1%+873K shares
Available history+1.9%+1.7M shares

RLI has 92M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

RLI Net Leverage

RLI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.5Neutral
Stochastic82.5Overbought

RLI's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

RLI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRLISector medianRelative
PE16x13x23% above
PE %276336 pts below

RLI is trading at 16x earnings, a 23% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

RLI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.012% above
20 week MA$62.211% above
50 week MA$59.616% above
100 week MA$65.55.5% above
200 week MA$68.11.5% above

RLI has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 1.5% above its 200-week average.

RLI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.9$51.9+16%
2021$51.9$54.7+5.4%
2022$54.7$66.9+22%
2023$66.9$66.6-0.4%
2024$66.6$83.0+25%
2025$83.0$64.7-22%
2026 YTD$64.7$69.1+6.8%

RLI has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 6.8% so far in 2026.

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