JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over QFIN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

QFIN

Qfin Holdings, Inc.

27
Fundamentals31/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

QFIN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

QFIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

QFIN's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like QFIN.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

QFIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.1x9.1x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.1x9.1x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current0.7x$5.15—
Cheap2.6x$18.64+262%
Fair4.6x$32.73+535%
Expensive6.7x$47.38+820%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QFIN has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over QFIN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

QFIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect QFIN's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QFIN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QFIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$7.75
Downside-34%$3.41

Calculated from the latest close: $5.15 on Nov 12.

QFIN trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

QFIN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.33Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $6.25Q1 2025: $7.03Q2 2025: $7.58Q3 2025: $7.41Q4 2025: $7.70Q1 2026: $7.96Q2 2026: $7.06
Q3 2023: $3.33Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $6.25Q1 2025: $7.03Q2 2025: $7.58Q3 2025: $7.41Q4 2025: $7.70Q1 2026: $7.96Q2 2026: $7.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$7.06-6.9%
Q1 2026$7.96+13%
Q4 2025$7.70+23%
Q3 2025$7.41+41%
Q2 2025$7.58+68%
Q1 2025$7.03+68%
Q4 2024$6.25+59%
Q3 2024$5.25+58%

QFIN earned $7.06 per share over the past year, down 6.9% from the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over QFIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QFIN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $642MQ4 2023: $675MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $624MQ3 2024: $656MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: $609MQ2 2025: $650MQ3 2025: $781MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $587MQ2 2026: $534M
Q3 2023: $642MQ4 2023: $675MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $624MQ3 2024: $656MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: $609MQ2 2025: $650MQ3 2025: $781MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $587MQ2 2026: $534M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$533.7M-18%
Q1 2026$586.7M-3.7%
Q4 2025$511.6M-24%
Q3 2025$781.2M+19%
Q2 2025$649.6M+4.1%
Q1 2025$609.2M-2.3%
Q4 2024$672.7M-0.3%
Q3 2024$655.8M+2.1%

QFIN's revenue is shrinking: $534M last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

QFIN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $187MQ4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $294MQ3 2024: $356MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $163M
Q3 2023: $187MQ4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $294MQ3 2024: $356MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $163M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$162.8M-59%
Q1 2026$314.8M-25%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025$375.4M+5.5%
Q2 2025$393.5M+34%
Q1 2025$421.1M+43%
Q4 2024$435M+28%
Q3 2024$355.9M+91%

QFIN has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over QFIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

QFIN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 165MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 143M
Q3 2023: 165MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 143M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+4.9%+6.7M shares
3 years-14%-22.8M shares
5 years-11%-18.4M shares
Available history-4.6%-6.9M shares

QFIN has 143M diluted shares, up 4.9% from a year ago, despite $707M in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

QFIN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.7xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.8x
Q3 2023: -0.7xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.4xNet Cash

QFIN has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

QFIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI24.0Oversold
Stochastic2.9Oversold

QFIN's weekly RSI is 24 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

QFIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricQFINSector medianRelative
PE0.7x13x94% below
PE %06363 pts below

QFIN has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over QFIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

QFIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.8512% below
20 week MA$9.3445% below
50 week MA$13.060% below
100 week MA$24.579% below
200 week MA$22.377% below

QFIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 77% below its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over QFIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

QFIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.41$10.8+15%
2021$10.8$22.0+103%
2022$22.0$19.3-12%
2023$19.3$15.8-18%
2024$15.8$38.2+141%
2025$38.2$20.0-48%
2026 YTD$20.0$5.15-74%

QFIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +141% in 2024 to −48% in 2025. It's down 74% so far in 2026.

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