JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PLGO
Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit
PLGO has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
PLGO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
PLGO's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PLGO.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM has the edge over PLGO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PLGO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.9x | $20.62 | -28% |
| Fair | 6.8x | $23.72 | -18% |
| Forward | 7.6x | $28.83 | — |
| Current | 8.3x | $28.83 | — |
| Expensive | 10x | $34.97 | +21% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PLGO's PE is in its fair range at 8.3x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.6x next year's earnings.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
PLGO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PLGO, but weaker profitability.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
PLGO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.77 | +8.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.48 | +$3.49 |
| Q2 2026 | $3.98 | +$4.35 |
| Q1 2026 | $3.64 | +$3.73 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.11 | +115% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.98 | -95% |
PLGO has returned to profit: it earned $3.48 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM has the edge over PLGO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over PLGO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PLGO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $800.9M | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $650M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $610.6M | -7.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $600.9M | -11% |
| Q3 2025 | $651.9M | -5% |
| Q2 2025 | $589.3M | +9.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $658.4M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $673.8M | -81% |
PLGO's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $801M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.2% | -16 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.1% | +4.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +25 points |
| Q4 2025 | 24% | +45 points |
| Q3 2025 | 25% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.8% | -7.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -7.6% | -26 points |
| Q4 2024 | -21% | -78 points |
PLGO's operating margin was 9.2% last quarter, down 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
PLGO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $133.7M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | -$26.7M | +$332.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $273.6M | +$707M |
| Q4 2025 | $228.6M | +82% |
| Q3 2025 | $154.6M | -51% |
| Q2 2025 | -$359.3M | -274% |
| Q1 2025 | -$433.4M | -$397.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $125.4M | -74% |
PLGO has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
PLGO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.5% | -2.1M shares |
| 1 year | -21% | -22M shares |
| 3 years | -29% | -33.5M shares |
PLGO has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $83M |
| Q2 2026 | $60.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $219.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $118.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $31.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $88.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $22.1M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
PLGO spent $481M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM has the edge over PLGO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PLGO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -30.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
PLGO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PLGO.
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
PLGO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 74.5 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 91.0 | Overbought |
PLGO's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
PLGO PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | PLGO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.3x | 13x | 36% below |
| PE % | 64 | 46 | 18 pts above |
PLGO has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
PLGO has stronger trend alignment. JPM is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus PLGO above 4 of 4.
PLGO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.8 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $25.3 | 14% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.2 | 30% above |
| 100 week MA | $19.5 | 48% above |
PLGO is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 48% above its 100-week average.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.
PLGO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $13.7 | $12.7 | -7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $17.6 | +39% |
| 2025 | $17.6 | $19.5 | +11% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.5 | $28.8 | +48% |
PLGO has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.