JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ONB
Old National Bancorp
ONB has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
ONB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ONB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ONB.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
ONB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9x | $22.15 | -11% |
| Forward | 9.2x | $24.94 | — |
| Current | 10x | $24.94 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $28.68 | +15% |
| Expensive | 14x | $34.10 | +37% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ONB has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
ONB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect ONB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM has the edge over ONB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ONB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.45 | +43% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.25 | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.94 | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.79 | +6.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.71 | +3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.69 | -0.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | -7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.68 | -13% |
ONB earned $2.45 per share over the past year, up 43% from the year before.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM's operating margin was 40% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
ONB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $712.7M | +1.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $732.6M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $694.9M | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $690.6M | +41% |
| Q3 2025 | $705.1M | +45% |
| Q2 2025 | $647.3M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $481.4M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $489.9M | +5.5% |
ONB has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 45% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 44% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 42% | +4.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 39% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | -5.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 24% | -8.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 38% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +1.7 points |
ONB has the edge over JPM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
ONB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $373.2M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $275.9M | +330% |
| Q1 2026 | $193.3M | +89% |
| Q4 2025 | $137.3M | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $333.6M | +188% |
| Q2 2025 | $64.1M | -58% |
| Q1 2025 | $102.4M | +7% |
| Q4 2024 | $229M | +266% |
ONB has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over ONB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
ONB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -2.4M shares |
| 1 year | -2.5% | -9.6M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +89.2M shares |
| 5 years | +130% | +215M shares |
| Available history | +124% | +211M shares |
ONB has 381M diluted shares, down 2.5% from a year ago, with $345M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $115.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $104.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $25.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $25.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $8M |
| Q1 2025 | $13.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $139,000 |
ONB spent $345M buying back its own shares over the past year, about seven times what it spent the year before.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM has the edge over ONB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ONB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3x | High |
ONB's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.6 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ONB.
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
ONB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.1 | Neutral |
ONB's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
ONB PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ONB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 13x | 22% below |
| PE % | 28 | 63 | 35 pts below |
ONB has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM has the edge over ONB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ONB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.0 | 0.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $25.7 | 3.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $24.4 | 2.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $23.0 | 8.4% above |
| 200 week MA | $19.8 | 26% above |
ONB has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 26% above its 200-week average.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.
ONB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.3 | $16.6 | -9.3% |
| 2021 | $16.6 | $17.9 | +8.1% |
| 2022 | $17.9 | $17.8 | -0.7% |
| 2023 | $17.8 | $16.9 | -5% |
| 2024 | $16.9 | $21.8 | +29% |
| 2025 | $21.8 | $23.0 | +5.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $23.0 | $24.9 | +8.5% |
ONB has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.