ONB

Old National Bancorp

66
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ONB's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 22% and its operating margin rose 10 points to 43%. At 10x earnings, it's trading below its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ONB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

ONB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ONB.

ONB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.9x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.9x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9x$22.15-11%
Forward9.2x$24.94—
Current10x$24.94—
Fair12x$28.68+15%
Expensive14x$34.10+37%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ONB's PE is in its cheap range at 10x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.2x next year's earnings.

ONB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect ONB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

ONB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$30.67
Downside-13%$21.71

Calculated from the latest close: $24.94 on Nov 12.

ONB's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +23% against −13%.

ONB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.94Q1 2024: $1.85Q2 2024: $1.70Q3 2024: $1.65Q4 2024: $1.68Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $1.69Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.79Q1 2026: $1.94Q2 2026: $2.25Q3 2026: $2.45Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $1.94Q1 2024: $1.85Q2 2024: $1.70Q3 2024: $1.65Q4 2024: $1.68Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $1.69Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.79Q1 2026: $1.94Q2 2026: $2.25Q3 2026: $2.45Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+11%
Q3 2026$2.45+43%
Q2 2026$2.25+33%
Q1 2026$1.94+13%
Q4 2025$1.79+6.5%
Q3 2025$1.71+3.6%
Q2 2025$1.69-0.6%
Q1 2025$1.72-7%
Q4 2024$1.68-13%

ONB earned $2.45 per share over the past year, up 43% from the year before.

ONB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $465MQ1 2024: $434MQ2 2024: $476MQ3 2024: $486MQ4 2024: $490MQ1 2025: $481MQ2 2025: $647MQ3 2025: $705MQ4 2025: $691MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $733MQ3 2026: $713M
Q4 2023: $465MQ1 2024: $434MQ2 2024: $476MQ3 2024: $486MQ4 2024: $490MQ1 2025: $481MQ2 2025: $647MQ3 2025: $705MQ4 2025: $691MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $733MQ3 2026: $713M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$712.7M+1.1%
Q2 2026$732.6M+13%
Q1 2026$694.9M+44%
Q4 2025$690.6M+41%
Q3 2025$705.1M+45%
Q2 2025$647.3M+36%
Q1 2025$481.4M+11%
Q4 2024$489.9M+5.5%

ONB's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $713M last quarter, up 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

ONB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $152MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $229MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $64MQ3 2025: $334MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: $193MQ2 2026: $276MQ3 2026: $373M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $152MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $229MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $64MQ3 2025: $334MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: $193MQ2 2026: $276MQ3 2026: $373M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$373.2M+12%
Q2 2026$275.9M+330%
Q1 2026$193.3M+89%
Q4 2025$137.3M-40%
Q3 2025$333.6M+188%
Q2 2025$64.1M-58%
Q1 2025$102.4M+7%
Q4 2024$229M+266%

ONB's free cash flow was $980M over the past year, up 34% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ONB.

ONB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 292MQ1 2024: 292MQ2 2024: 316MQ3 2024: 317MQ4 2024: 311MQ1 2025: 321MQ2 2025: 361MQ3 2025: 390MQ4 2025: 365MQ1 2026: 388MQ2 2026: 383MQ3 2026: 381M
Q4 2023: 292MQ1 2024: 292MQ2 2024: 316MQ3 2024: 317MQ4 2024: 311MQ1 2025: 321MQ2 2025: 361MQ3 2025: 390MQ4 2025: 365MQ1 2026: 388MQ2 2026: 383MQ3 2026: 381M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-2.4M shares
1 year-2.5%-9.6M shares
3 years+31%+89.2M shares
5 years+130%+215M shares
Available history+124%+211M shares

ONB has 381M diluted shares, down 2.5% from a year ago, with $345M in buybacks over the past year.

ONB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 5.2xQ2 2024: 5.9xQ3 2024: 5.3xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 5.6xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 3.8x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 5.2xQ2 2024: 5.9xQ3 2024: 5.3xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 5.6xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 3.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.8xElevated
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20255.5xHigh
Q3 20255.6xHigh
Q2 20256.2xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh

ONB's net debt is about 3.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.6 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ONB.

ONB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic28.1Neutral

ONB's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

ONB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricONBSector medianRelative
PE10x13x22% below
PE %286335 pts below

ONB is trading at 10x earnings, a 22% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ONB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.00.4% below
20 week MA$25.73.1% below
50 week MA$24.42.1% above
100 week MA$23.08.4% above
200 week MA$19.826% above

ONB has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 26% above its 200-week average.

ONB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.3$16.6-9.3%
2021$16.6$17.9+8.1%
2022$17.9$17.8-0.7%
2023$17.8$16.9-5%
2024$16.9$21.8+29%
2025$21.8$23.0+5.6%
2026 YTD$23.0$24.9+8.5%

ONB has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 8.5% so far in 2026.

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