JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NTRS

Northern Trust Corporation

68
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NTRS has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

NTRS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

NTRS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NTRS.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

NTRS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$155-13%
Current14x$178—
Forward14x$178—
Fair15x$188+6%
Expensive18x$235+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NTRS has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over NTRS on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

NTRS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect NTRS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM trails NTRS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NTRS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$222.03
Downside-9%$162.08

Calculated from the latest close: $177.67 on Nov 12.

NTRS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JPM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

NTRS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.08Q1 2024: $4.53Q2 2024: $7.31Q3 2024: $8.04Q4 2024: $9.77Q1 2025: $10.71Q2 2025: $8.50Q3 2025: $8.57Q4 2025: $8.74Q1 2026: $9.55Q2 2026: $11.65Q3 2026: $12.76Forward: $12.59
Q4 2023: $5.08Q1 2024: $4.53Q2 2024: $7.31Q3 2024: $8.04Q4 2024: $9.77Q1 2025: $10.71Q2 2025: $8.50Q3 2025: $8.57Q4 2025: $8.74Q1 2026: $9.55Q2 2026: $11.65Q3 2026: $12.76Forward: $12.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.59-1.3%
Q3 2026$12.76+49%
Q2 2026$11.65+37%
Q1 2026$9.55-11%
Q4 2025$8.74-11%
Q3 2025$8.57+6.6%
Q2 2025$8.50+16%
Q1 2025$10.71+136%
Q4 2024$9.77+92%

NTRS earned $12.76 per share over the past year, up 49% from the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NTRS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+13%
Q2 2026$2.7B+35%
Q1 2026$2.2B+14%
Q4 2025$2.1B+8.3%
Q3 2025$2B+2.9%
Q2 2025$2B-26%
Q1 2025$1.9B+18%
Q4 2024$2B+27%

NTRS has the edge over JPM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

NTRS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $585MQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $356MQ1 2026: −$329MQ2 2026: −$90MQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $585MQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $509MQ4 2025: $356MQ1 2026: −$329MQ2 2026: −$90MQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+254%
Q2 2026-$90.3M-105%
Q1 2026-$329.4M-112%
Q4 2025$355.6M+$3B
Q3 2025$509.4M-13%
Q2 2025$1.9B-37%
Q1 2025$2.7B+$4.2B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-198%

NTRS has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

NTRS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 205MQ2 2024: 204MQ3 2024: 201MQ4 2024: 202MQ1 2025: 196MQ2 2025: 193MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 192MQ1 2026: 187MQ2 2026: 185MQ3 2026: 183M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 205MQ2 2024: 204MQ3 2024: 201MQ4 2024: 202MQ1 2025: 196MQ2 2025: 193MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 192MQ1 2026: 187MQ2 2026: 185MQ3 2026: 183M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.7M shares
1 year-4.1%-7.8M shares
3 years-12%-24.1M shares
5 years-12%-25.7M shares
Available history-15%-32.4M shares

NTRS has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over NTRS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NTRS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20252.2xModerate
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20242.0xHealthy

NTRS's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NTRS.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

NTRS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic37.9Neutral

NTRS's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NTRS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNTRSSector medianRelative
PE14x13x7% above
PE %426321 pts below

NTRS has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

NTRS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$171.13.9% above
20 week MA$178.90.7% below
50 week MA$162.49.4% above
100 week MA$138.628% above
200 week MA$111.260% above

NTRS's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 60% above its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

NTRS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$107.0$91.6-14%
2021$91.6$118.2+29%
2022$118.2$88.0-26%
2023$88.0$84.4-4.1%
2024$84.4$103.8+23%
2025$103.8$140.1+35%
2026 YTD$140.1$177.7+27%

NTRS has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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