JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over NIC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

NIC

Nicolet Bankshares, Inc.

51
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

NIC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

NIC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

NIC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NIC.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over NIC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NIC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x16x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x16x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$108-38%
Forward13x$174—
Fair14x$125-28%
Expensive17x$157-10%
Current19x$174—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NIC's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

NIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NIC, with profitability holding steady.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$213.87
Downside-14%$149.08

Calculated from the latest close: $174.12 on Nov 12.

NIC trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

NIC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.08Q1 2024: $6.51Q2 2024: $6.92Q3 2024: $7.88Q4 2024: $8.05Q1 2025: $8.31Q2 2025: $8.73Q3 2025: $9.36Q4 2025: $9.78Q1 2026: $8.51Q2 2026: $8.79Q3 2026: $9.02Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $4.08Q1 2024: $6.51Q2 2024: $6.92Q3 2024: $7.88Q4 2024: $8.05Q1 2025: $8.31Q2 2025: $8.73Q3 2025: $9.36Q4 2025: $9.78Q1 2026: $8.51Q2 2026: $8.79Q3 2026: $9.02Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+48%
Q3 2026$9.02-3.6%
Q2 2026$8.79+0.7%
Q1 2026$8.51+2.4%
Q4 2025$9.78+21%
Q3 2025$9.36+19%
Q2 2025$8.73+26%
Q1 2025$8.31+28%
Q4 2024$8.05+97%

NIC earned $9.02 per share over the past year, down 3.6% from the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $91MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $104MQ1 2026: $135MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $174M
Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $91MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $104MQ1 2026: $135MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $174M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$174.4M+70%
Q2 2026$177.8M+86%
Q1 2026$134.9M+51%
Q4 2025$104M+13%
Q3 2025$102.9M+13%
Q2 2025$95.7M+13%
Q1 2025$89.4M+8.8%
Q4 2024$92.4M+4.2%

NIC has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

NIC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $67M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $67M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$67.1M+46%
Q2 2026$89.3M+133%
Q1 2026$15.1M-64%
Q4 2025$23.9M-15%
Q3 2025$45.9M+32%
Q2 2025$38.4M+12%
Q1 2025$41.3M+106%
Q4 2024$28.1M-19%

NIC has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over NIC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-186K shares
1 year+40%+6.1M shares
3 years+44%+6.6M shares
5 years+109%+11.2M shares
Available history+118%+11.6M shares

NIC has 22M diluted shares, up 40% from a year ago, despite $103M in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

NIC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.0xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

NIC has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

NIC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.4Neutral
Stochastic64.4Neutral

NIC's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over NIC on valuation relative to its sector.

NIC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNICSector medianRelative
PE19x13x48% above
PE %906327 pts above

NIC is trading at 19x earnings, a 48% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

NIC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$169.03.1% above
20 week MA$170.02.4% above
50 week MA$153.913% above
100 week MA$137.327% above
200 week MA$108.860% above

NIC has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

NIC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$74.6$68.0-8.9%
2021$68.0$87.0+28%
2022$87.0$80.9-6.9%
2023$80.9$80.5-0.6%
2024$80.5$104.6+30%
2025$104.6$123.7+18%
2026 YTD$123.7$174.1+41%

NIC has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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