JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
MTB
M&T Bank Corporation
MTB has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
MTB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MTB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MTB.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
MTB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.1x | $174 | -21% |
| Forward | 11x | $220 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $230 | +4.8% |
| Current | 12x | $220 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $269 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MTB has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
MTB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect MTB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
MTB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.37 | +6.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.11 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.89 | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.81 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.00 | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.25 | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.45 | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.94 | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.64 | -7.3% |
MTB earned $19.11 per share over the past year, up 18% from the year before.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over MTB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MTB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.5B | +0.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.5B | +5.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B | +5.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5B | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.4B | +4.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.3B | +2% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.4B | +3.7% |
MTB's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $2.5B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | +3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 35% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 39% | +2.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 41% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 39% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 33% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +9.8 points |
MTB's operating margin was 40% last quarter, down 1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
MTB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +59% |
| Q4 2025 | $523M | -69% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +$1B |
| Q2 2025 | $844M | -38% |
| Q1 2025 | $635M | +4.4% |
| Q3 2024 | -$28M | -102% |
MTB has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
MTB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.1% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -7.3% | -11.4M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -21.4M shares |
| 5 years | +13% | +16.3M shares |
| Available history | +8% | +10.7M shares |
MTB has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $319M |
| Q2 2026 | $460M |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $502M |
| Q3 2025 | $404M |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $656M |
| Q4 2024 | $198M |
MTB spent $2.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 8.3% from the year before.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM has the edge over MTB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MTB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
MTB's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MTB.
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
MTB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.4 | Oversold |
MTB's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MTB PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MTB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 12% below |
| PE % | 39 | 63 | 24 pts below |
MTB has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM has the edge over MTB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MTB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $219.1 | 0.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $233.4 | 5.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $222.2 | 1.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $204.8 | 7.3% above |
| 200 week MA | $175.3 | 25% above |
MTB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 25% above its 200-week average.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.
MTB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $169.6 | $125.0 | -26% |
| 2021 | $125.0 | $151.0 | +21% |
| 2022 | $151.0 | $144.6 | -4.2% |
| 2023 | $144.6 | $137.1 | -5.2% |
| 2024 | $137.1 | $189.2 | +38% |
| 2025 | $189.2 | $207.3 | +9.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $207.3 | $219.8 | +6% |
MTB has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.