MTB

M&T Bank Corporation

60
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MTB's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 18%, while revenue grew 4%. At 12x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MTB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

MTB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MTB.

MTB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$174-21%
Forward11x$220—
Fair12x$230+4.8%
Current12x$220—
Expensive14x$269+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTB's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

MTB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MTB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MTB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$269.52
Downside-12%$193.56

Calculated from the latest close: $219.78 on Nov 12.

MTB's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +23% against −12%.

MTB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $15.79Q1 2024: $14.80Q2 2024: $13.48Q3 2024: $13.52Q4 2024: $14.64Q1 2025: $14.94Q2 2025: $15.45Q3 2025: $16.25Q4 2025: $17.00Q1 2026: $17.81Q2 2026: $18.89Q3 2026: $19.11Forward: $20.37
Q4 2023: $15.79Q1 2024: $14.80Q2 2024: $13.48Q3 2024: $13.52Q4 2024: $14.64Q1 2025: $14.94Q2 2025: $15.45Q3 2025: $16.25Q4 2025: $17.00Q1 2026: $17.81Q2 2026: $18.89Q3 2026: $19.11Forward: $20.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.37+6.6%
Q3 2026$19.11+18%
Q2 2026$18.89+22%
Q1 2026$17.81+19%
Q4 2025$17.00+16%
Q3 2025$16.25+20%
Q2 2025$15.45+15%
Q1 2025$14.94+0.9%
Q4 2024$14.64-7.3%

MTB earned $19.11 per share over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

MTB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.3BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.3BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+0.9%
Q2 2026$2.5B+5.7%
Q1 2026$2.4B+5.9%
Q4 2025$2.5B+3.8%
Q3 2025$2.5B+7.8%
Q2 2025$2.4B+4.1%
Q1 2025$2.3B+2%
Q4 2024$2.4B+3.7%

MTB's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $2.5B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MTB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $608MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $635MQ2 2025: $844MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $608MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $635MQ2 2025: $844MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+25%
Q2 2026$1.3B+50%
Q1 2026$1B+59%
Q4 2025$523M-69%
Q3 2025$1B+$1B
Q2 2025$844M-38%
Q1 2025$635M+4.4%
Q3 2024-$28M-102%

MTB's free cash flow was $4.1B over the past year, down 2.4% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MTB.

MTB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 167MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 168MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 167MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 160MQ3 2025: 157MQ4 2025: 159MQ1 2026: 150MQ2 2026: 147MQ3 2026: 145M
Q4 2023: 167MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 168MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 167MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 160MQ3 2025: 157MQ4 2025: 159MQ1 2026: 150MQ2 2026: 147MQ3 2026: 145M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-1.6M shares
1 year-7.3%-11.4M shares
3 years-13%-21.4M shares
5 years+13%+16.3M shares
Available history+8%+10.7M shares

MTB has 145M diluted shares, down 7.3% from a year ago, with $2.5B in buybacks over the past year.

MTB Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 4.3x
Q2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 4.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.3xHigh
Q2 20263.8xElevated
Q1 20264.2xHigh
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.3xElevated
Q2 20253.2xElevated

MTB's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MTB.

MTB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic17.4Oversold

MTB's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

MTB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMTBSector medianRelative
PE12x13x12% below
PE %396324 pts below

MTB is trading at 12x earnings, a 12% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MTB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$219.10.3% above
20 week MA$233.45.8% below
50 week MA$222.21.1% below
100 week MA$204.87.3% above
200 week MA$175.325% above

MTB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 25% above its 200-week average.

MTB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$169.6$125.0-26%
2021$125.0$151.0+21%
2022$151.0$144.6-4.2%
2023$144.6$137.1-5.2%
2024$137.1$189.2+38%
2025$189.2$207.3+9.5%
2026 YTD$207.3$219.8+6%

MTB has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 6% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key