JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has a slight edge over MPB overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

MPB

Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc.

55
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

MPB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

MPB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MPB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MPB.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over MPB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MPB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$23.92-32%
Fair9.5x$27.50-22%
Forward10x$35.30—
Current12x$35.30—
Expensive13x$36.77+4.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MPB's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

MPB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MPB, but weaker profitability.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MPB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MPB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$42.51
Downside-14%$30.35

Calculated from the latest close: $35.30 on Nov 12.

MPB trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over MPB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MPB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.29Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.74Q3 2024: $2.92Q4 2024: $2.90Q1 2025: $2.88Q2 2025: $2.39Q3 2025: $2.44Q4 2025: $2.55Q1 2026: $2.20Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $2.88Forward: $3.52
Q4 2023: $2.29Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.74Q3 2024: $2.92Q4 2024: $2.90Q1 2025: $2.88Q2 2025: $2.39Q3 2025: $2.44Q4 2025: $2.55Q1 2026: $2.20Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $2.88Forward: $3.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.52+22%
Q3 2026$2.88+18%
Q2 2026$2.83+18%
Q1 2026$2.20-24%
Q4 2025$2.55-12%
Q3 2025$2.44-16%
Q2 2025$2.39-13%
Q1 2025$2.88+24%
Q4 2024$2.90+27%

MPB earned $2.88 per share over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

MPB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $75M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $75M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$74.7M+21%
Q2 2026$75.9M+40%
Q1 2026$64.9M+36%
Q4 2025$62M+31%
Q3 2025$61.8M+36%
Q2 2025$54.3M+23%
Q1 2025$47.7M+13%
Q4 2024$47.4M+13%

MPB has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

MPB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$15.9M-35%
Q2 2026$31.2M+15%
Q1 2026$13M+48%
Q4 2025$11.5M+$13.6M
Q3 2025$24.3M+45%
Q2 2025$27.2M+53%
Q1 2025$8.8M-27%
Q4 2024-$2.2M-114%

MPB has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over MPB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MPB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+20K shares
1 year+10%+2.4M shares
3 years+55%+9M shares
5 years+148%+15.3M shares
Available history+202%+17.2M shares

MPB has 26M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

MPB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

MPB has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

MPB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic20.2Neutral

MPB's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MPB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMPBSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.8% below
PE %786315 pts above

MPB has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

MPB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.30% above
20 week MA$36.22.6% below
50 week MA$34.03.7% above
100 week MA$31.114% above
200 week MA$27.727% above

MPB has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 27% above its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

MPB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.4$24.9-15%
2021$24.9$31.6+27%
2022$31.6$31.1-1.5%
2023$31.1$24.3-22%
2024$24.3$28.9+19%
2025$28.9$31.7+9.7%
2026 YTD$31.7$35.3+11%

MPB has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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