MPB

Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc.

55
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

MPB's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 12x earnings, above its usual 9.6x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MPB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MPB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MPB.

MPB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$23.92-32%
Fair9.5x$27.50-22%
Forward10x$35.30—
Current12x$35.30—
Expensive13x$36.77+4.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MPB's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MPB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MPB, but weaker profitability.

MPB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$42.51
Downside-14%$30.35

Calculated from the latest close: $35.30 on Nov 12.

MPB's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +20% against −14%.

MPB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.29Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.74Q3 2024: $2.92Q4 2024: $2.90Q1 2025: $2.88Q2 2025: $2.39Q3 2025: $2.44Q4 2025: $2.55Q1 2026: $2.20Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $2.88Forward: $3.52
Q4 2023: $2.29Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.74Q3 2024: $2.92Q4 2024: $2.90Q1 2025: $2.88Q2 2025: $2.39Q3 2025: $2.44Q4 2025: $2.55Q1 2026: $2.20Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $2.88Forward: $3.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.52+22%
Q3 2026$2.88+18%
Q2 2026$2.83+18%
Q1 2026$2.20-24%
Q4 2025$2.55-12%
Q3 2025$2.44-16%
Q2 2025$2.39-13%
Q1 2025$2.88+24%
Q4 2024$2.90+27%

MPB earned $2.88 per share over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

MPB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $75M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $42MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $75M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$74.7M+21%
Q2 2026$75.9M+40%
Q1 2026$64.9M+36%
Q4 2025$62M+31%
Q3 2025$61.8M+36%
Q2 2025$54.3M+23%
Q1 2025$47.7M+13%
Q4 2024$47.4M+13%

MPB's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $75M last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

MPB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$15.9M-35%
Q2 2026$31.2M+15%
Q1 2026$13M+48%
Q4 2025$11.5M+$13.6M
Q3 2025$24.3M+45%
Q2 2025$27.2M+53%
Q1 2025$8.8M-27%
Q4 2024-$2.2M-114%

MPB's free cash flow was $72M over the past year, up 23% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MPB.

MPB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+20K shares
1 year+10%+2.4M shares
3 years+55%+9M shares
5 years+148%+15.3M shares
Available history+202%+17.2M shares

MPB has 26M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

MPB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

MPB's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MPB.

MPB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic20.2Neutral

MPB's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

MPB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMPBSector medianRelative
PE12x13x5.8% below
PE %786315 pts above

MPB is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MPB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.30% above
20 week MA$36.22.6% below
50 week MA$34.03.7% above
100 week MA$31.114% above
200 week MA$27.727% above

MPB has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 27% above its 200-week average.

MPB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.4$24.9-15%
2021$24.9$31.6+27%
2022$31.6$31.1-1.5%
2023$31.1$24.3-22%
2024$24.3$28.9+19%
2025$28.9$31.7+9.7%
2026 YTD$31.7$35.3+11%

MPB has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 11% so far in 2026.

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