JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

MORN

Morningstar, Inc.

75
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation89/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MORN has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

MORN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

MORN's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MORN.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

MORN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE139x278x417x556x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE139x278x417x556x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$246—
Current22x$246—
Cheap26x$298+21%
Fair48x$549+123%
Expensive88x$999+306%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MORN has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

MORN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

MORN has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM trails MORN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MORN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$328.11
Downside-12%$215.81

Calculated from the latest close: $246.08 on Nov 12.

MORN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JPM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

MORN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.29Q1 2024: $4.96Q2 2024: $5.72Q3 2024: $7.58Q4 2024: $8.58Q1 2025: $8.91Q2 2025: $9.40Q3 2025: $8.80Q4 2025: $8.87Q1 2026: $9.78Q2 2026: $10.52Q3 2026: $11.41Forward: $14.12
Q4 2023: $3.29Q1 2024: $4.96Q2 2024: $5.72Q3 2024: $7.58Q4 2024: $8.58Q1 2025: $8.91Q2 2025: $9.40Q3 2025: $8.80Q4 2025: $8.87Q1 2026: $9.78Q2 2026: $10.52Q3 2026: $11.41Forward: $14.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.12+24%
Q3 2026$11.41+30%
Q2 2026$10.52+12%
Q1 2026$9.78+9.8%
Q4 2025$8.87+3.4%
Q3 2025$8.80+16%
Q2 2025$9.40+64%
Q1 2025$8.91+80%
Q4 2024$8.58+161%

MORN has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

MORN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $539MQ1 2024: $543MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $569MQ4 2024: $591MQ1 2025: $582MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $617MQ4 2025: $641MQ1 2026: $645MQ2 2026: $663MQ3 2026: $672M
Q4 2023: $539MQ1 2024: $543MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $569MQ4 2024: $591MQ1 2025: $582MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $617MQ4 2025: $641MQ1 2026: $645MQ2 2026: $663MQ3 2026: $672M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$672.1M+8.9%
Q2 2026$663.2M+9.6%
Q1 2026$644.8M+11%
Q4 2025$641.1M+8.5%
Q3 2025$617.4M+8.4%
Q2 2025$605.1M+5.8%
Q1 2025$581.9M+7.2%
Q4 2024$591M+9.7%

MORN has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

MORN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $60MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $113MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $160MQ4 2025: $161MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $123MQ3 2026: $155M
Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $60MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $113MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $160MQ4 2025: $161MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $123MQ3 2026: $155M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$155.4M-2.9%
Q2 2026$122.5M+96%
Q1 2026$53.6M-8.8%
Q4 2025$161.3M+43%
Q3 2025$160.1M+2.8%
Q2 2025$62.4M-48%
Q1 2025$58.8M-1.2%
Q4 2024$112.8M+4.6%

MORN has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

MORN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 38M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 38M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-300K shares
1 year-11%-4.5M shares
3 years-12%-5.1M shares
5 years-13%-5.6M shares
Available history-13%-5.5M shares

MORN has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over MORN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MORN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

MORN's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MORN.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

MORN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.0Neutral
Stochastic94.7Overbought

MORN's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 95 (overbought).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over MORN on valuation relative to its sector.

MORN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMORNSector medianRelative
PE22x13x66% above
PE %116352 pts below

MORN is trading at 22x earnings, a 66% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

MORN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$216.614% above
20 week MA$202.422% above
50 week MA$191.928% above
100 week MA$236.44.1% above
200 week MA$251.92.3% below

MORN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 2.3% below its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

MORN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$152.0$222.3+46%
2021$222.3$339.5+53%
2022$339.5$213.5-37%
2023$213.5$286.2+34%
2024$286.2$339.8+19%
2025$339.8$219.1-36%
2026 YTD$219.1$246.1+12%

MORN has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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