MORN

Morningstar, Inc.

75
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation89/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MORN's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 22x earnings, less than half its usual 49x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

MORN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

MORN's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MORN.

MORN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE139x278x417x556x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE139x278x417x556x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$246—
Current22x$246—
Cheap26x$298+21%
Fair48x$549+123%
Expensive88x$999+306%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MORN's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

MORN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MORN, with profitability improving.

MORN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$328.11
Downside-12%$215.81

Calculated from the latest close: $246.08 on Nov 12.

MORN's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +33% against −12%.

MORN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.29Q1 2024: $4.96Q2 2024: $5.72Q3 2024: $7.58Q4 2024: $8.58Q1 2025: $8.91Q2 2025: $9.40Q3 2025: $8.80Q4 2025: $8.87Q1 2026: $9.78Q2 2026: $10.52Q3 2026: $11.41Forward: $14.12
Q4 2023: $3.29Q1 2024: $4.96Q2 2024: $5.72Q3 2024: $7.58Q4 2024: $8.58Q1 2025: $8.91Q2 2025: $9.40Q3 2025: $8.80Q4 2025: $8.87Q1 2026: $9.78Q2 2026: $10.52Q3 2026: $11.41Forward: $14.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.12+24%
Q3 2026$11.41+30%
Q2 2026$10.52+12%
Q1 2026$9.78+9.8%
Q4 2025$8.87+3.4%
Q3 2025$8.80+16%
Q2 2025$9.40+64%
Q1 2025$8.91+80%
Q4 2024$8.58+161%

MORN's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $11.41 over the past year, up 30% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

MORN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $539MQ1 2024: $543MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $569MQ4 2024: $591MQ1 2025: $582MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $617MQ4 2025: $641MQ1 2026: $645MQ2 2026: $663MQ3 2026: $672M
Q4 2023: $539MQ1 2024: $543MQ2 2024: $572MQ3 2024: $569MQ4 2024: $591MQ1 2025: $582MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $617MQ4 2025: $641MQ1 2026: $645MQ2 2026: $663MQ3 2026: $672M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$672.1M+8.9%
Q2 2026$663.2M+9.6%
Q1 2026$644.8M+11%
Q4 2025$641.1M+8.5%
Q3 2025$617.4M+8.4%
Q2 2025$605.1M+5.8%
Q1 2025$581.9M+7.2%
Q4 2024$591M+9.7%

MORN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $672M last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MORN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $60MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $113MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $160MQ4 2025: $161MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $123MQ3 2026: $155M
Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $60MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $113MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $160MQ4 2025: $161MQ1 2026: $54MQ2 2026: $123MQ3 2026: $155M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$155.4M-2.9%
Q2 2026$122.5M+96%
Q1 2026$53.6M-8.8%
Q4 2025$161.3M+43%
Q3 2025$160.1M+2.8%
Q2 2025$62.4M-48%
Q1 2025$58.8M-1.2%
Q4 2024$112.8M+4.6%

MORN's free cash flow was $493M over the past year, up 25% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MORN.

MORN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 38M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 38M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-300K shares
1 year-11%-4.5M shares
3 years-12%-5.1M shares
5 years-13%-5.6M shares
Available history-13%-5.5M shares

MORN has 38M diluted shares, down 11% from a year ago, with $895M in buybacks over the past year.

MORN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

MORN's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MORN.

MORN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.0Neutral
Stochastic94.7Overbought

MORN's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 95 (overbought).

MORN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMORNSector medianRelative
PE22x13x66% above
PE %116352 pts below

MORN is trading at 22x earnings, a 66% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MORN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$216.614% above
20 week MA$202.422% above
50 week MA$191.928% above
100 week MA$236.44.1% above
200 week MA$251.92.3% below

MORN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 2.3% below its 200-week average.

MORN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$152.0$222.3+46%
2021$222.3$339.5+53%
2022$339.5$213.5-37%
2023$213.5$286.2+34%
2024$286.2$339.8+19%
2025$339.8$219.1-36%
2026 YTD$219.1$246.1+12%

MORN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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