JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over MKL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

MKL

Markel Corporation

43
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

MKL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

MKL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

MKL's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MKL.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over MKL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MKL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE191x382x573x764x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE191x382x573x764x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.7x$1,086-45%
Fair10x$1,458-26%
Current14x$1,962—
Forward17x$1,962—
Expensive30x$4,191+114%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MKL's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17x.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over MKL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

MKL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MKL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MKL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MKL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+8%$2,127.80
Downside-18%$1,606.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,962.08 on Nov 12.

MKL trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over MKL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $146.98Q1 2024: $185.15Q2 2024: $153.68Q3 2024: $216.79Q4 2024: $199.32Q1 2025: $135.97Q2 2025: $167.02Q3 2025: $160.02Q4 2025: $169.22Q1 2026: $138.24Q2 2026: $181.33Q3 2026: $140.23Forward: $118.42
Q4 2023: $146.98Q1 2024: $185.15Q2 2024: $153.68Q3 2024: $216.79Q4 2024: $199.32Q1 2025: $135.97Q2 2025: $167.02Q3 2025: $160.02Q4 2025: $169.22Q1 2026: $138.24Q2 2026: $181.33Q3 2026: $140.23Forward: $118.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$118.42-16%
Q3 2026$140.23-12%
Q2 2026$181.33+8.6%
Q1 2026$138.24+1.7%
Q4 2025$169.22-15%
Q3 2025$160.02-26%
Q2 2025$167.02+8.7%
Q1 2025$135.97-27%
Q4 2024$199.32+36%

MKL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $140.23 over the past year, against $216.79 in late 2024.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over MKL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.5BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $3.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $4BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4.2B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.5BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $3.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $4BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.2B+5.7%
Q2 2026$4B-13%
Q1 2026$3.6B+4.5%
Q4 2025$4B+4.3%
Q3 2025$3.9B-15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+24%
Q1 2025$3.4B-24%
Q4 2024$3.8B-17%

MKL's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $4.2B last quarter, up 5.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

MKL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $719MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $521MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $420MQ1 2025: $335MQ2 2025: $454MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: −$31MQ2 2026: $385MQ3 2026: $849M
Q4 2023: $719MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $521MQ3 2024: $839MQ4 2024: $420MQ1 2025: $335MQ2 2025: $454MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: −$31MQ2 2026: $385MQ3 2026: $849M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$849.5M-27%
Q2 2026$384.5M-15%
Q1 2026-$31.4M-109%
Q4 2025$599.1M+43%
Q3 2025$1.2B+39%
Q2 2025$453.8M-13%
Q1 2025$335.5M-40%
Q4 2024$420M-42%

MKL has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over MKL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MKL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 12M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-145K shares
1 year-1.2%-155K shares
3 years-6.7%-898K shares
5 years-9.7%-1.3M shares
Available history-10%-1.4M shares

MKL has 12M diluted shares, down 1.2% from a year ago, with $771M in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

MKL Net Leverage

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

MKL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.1Neutral
Stochastic71.7Neutral

MKL's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MKL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMKLSector medianRelative
PE14x13x7.5% above
PE %72639 pts above

MKL has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

MKL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,839.66.7% above
20 week MA$1,861.05.4% above
50 week MA$1,928.61.7% above
100 week MA$1,914.72.5% above
200 week MA$1,694.016% above

MKL has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over MKL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MKL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1,122.4$990.9-12%
2021$990.9$1,208.7+22%
2022$1,208.7$1,307.6+8.2%
2023$1,307.6$1,419.9+8.6%
2024$1,419.9$1,740.4+23%
2025$1,740.4$2,181.5+25%
2026 YTD$2,181.5$1,962.1-10%

MKL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

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