MKL
Markel Corporation
MKL's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 14x earnings, above its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
MKL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MKL's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MKL.
MKL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.7x | $1,086 | -45% |
| Fair | 10x | $1,458 | -26% |
| Current | 14x | $1,962 | — |
| Forward | 17x | $1,962 | — |
| Expensive | 30x | $4,191 | +114% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MKL's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17x.
MKL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MKL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MKL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $118.42 | -16% |
| Q3 2026 | $140.23 | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $181.33 | +8.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $138.24 | +1.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $169.22 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $160.02 | -26% |
| Q2 2025 | $167.02 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $135.97 | -27% |
| Q4 2024 | $199.32 | +36% |
MKL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $140.23 over the past year, against $216.79 in late 2024.
MKL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.2B | +5.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $4B | -13% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6B | +4.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $4B | +4.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.9B | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.6B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.4B | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.8B | -17% |
MKL's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $4.2B last quarter, up 5.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.2% | -17 points |
| Q2 2026 | 39% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | -7.7% | -16 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +4.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | -4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 24% | +13 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.3% | -22 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | -8.9 points |
MKL's operating margin was 9.2% last quarter, down 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MKL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $849.5M | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $384.5M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | -$31.4M | -109% |
| Q4 2025 | $599.1M | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +39% |
| Q2 2025 | $453.8M | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $335.5M | -40% |
| Q4 2024 | $420M | -42% |
MKL's free cash flow was $1.8B over the past year, down 24% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MKL.
MKL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -145K shares |
| 1 year | -1.2% | -155K shares |
| 3 years | -6.7% | -898K shares |
| 5 years | -9.7% | -1.3M shares |
| Available history | -10% | -1.4M shares |
MKL has 12M diluted shares, down 1.2% from a year ago, with $771M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $314.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $236.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $133.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $85.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $74.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $99.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $170.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $183.6M |
MKL spent $771M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 46% from the year before.
MKL Net Leverage
MKL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 71.7 | Neutral |
MKL's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).
MKL PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MKL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 7.5% above |
| PE % | 72 | 63 | 9 pts above |
MKL is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MKL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,839.6 | 6.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,861.0 | 5.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,928.6 | 1.7% above |
| 100 week MA | $1,914.7 | 2.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $1,694.0 | 16% above |
MKL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% above its 200-week average.
MKL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1,122.4 | $990.9 | -12% |
| 2021 | $990.9 | $1,208.7 | +22% |
| 2022 | $1,208.7 | $1,307.6 | +8.2% |
| 2023 | $1,307.6 | $1,419.9 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $1,419.9 | $1,740.4 | +23% |
| 2025 | $1,740.4 | $2,181.5 | +25% |
| 2026 YTD | $2,181.5 | $1,962.1 | -10% |
MKL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.