JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over MFIN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

MFIN

Medallion Financial Corp.

27
Fundamentals34/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential21/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

MFIN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

MFIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

MFIN's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MFIN.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over MFIN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MFIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x94x141x189x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x94x141x189x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.5x$3.91-58%
Fair4.7x$5.18-45%
Expensive6.7x$7.41-21%
Current8.4x$9.34—
Forward9.6x$9.34—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MFIN's PE is in its expensive range at 8.4x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 9.6x next year's earnings.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over MFIN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

MFIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MFIN's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MFIN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MFIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$10.21
Downside-34%$6.13

Calculated from the latest close: $9.34 on Nov 12.

MFIN trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over MFIN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MFIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.37Q1 2024: $2.12Q2 2024: $1.80Q3 2024: $1.69Q4 2024: $1.52Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $1.76Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.78Q1 2026: $1.48Q2 2026: $1.33Q3 2026: $1.11Forward: $0.97
Q4 2023: $2.37Q1 2024: $2.12Q2 2024: $1.80Q3 2024: $1.69Q4 2024: $1.52Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $1.76Q3 2025: $1.71Q4 2025: $1.78Q1 2026: $1.48Q2 2026: $1.33Q3 2026: $1.11Forward: $0.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.97-12%
Q3 2026$1.11-35%
Q2 2026$1.33-24%
Q1 2026$1.48-7.5%
Q4 2025$1.78+17%
Q3 2025$1.71+1.2%
Q2 2025$1.76-2.2%
Q1 2025$1.60-25%
Q4 2024$1.52-36%

MFIN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.11 over the past year, against $2.37 in late 2023.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

MFIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $59MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $62MQ3 2026: $62M
Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $59MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $62MQ3 2026: $62M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$61.8M+5.2%
Q2 2026$61.7M-1.4%
Q1 2026$56.5M-10%
Q4 2025$70.6M+25%
Q3 2025$58.7M+10%
Q2 2025$62.6M+23%
Q1 2025$63M+18%
Q4 2024$56.3M+8.2%

MFIN's revenue is growing: $62M last quarter, up 5.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

MFIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $41MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $45M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $41MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $45M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$44.6M-33%
Q2 2026$17.5M+$28.2M
Q1 2026$41.3M+14%
Q4 2025$33.8M+19%
Q3 2025$67M+146%
Q2 2025-$10.7M-139%
Q1 2025$36.3M+12%
Q4 2024$28.4M+45%

MFIN has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

MFIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-366K shares
1 year-3.2%-790K shares
3 years+1.1%+254K shares
5 years-5.4%-1.3M shares
Available history-2.9%-696K shares

MFIN has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over MFIN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MFIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.6xElevated
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.7xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.6xModerate
Q4 20242.8xModerate

MFIN's net debt is about 3.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MFIN.

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

MFIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.5Neutral
Stochastic12.1Oversold

MFIN's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MFIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMFINSector medianRelative
PE8.4x13x35% below
PE %856322 pts above

MFIN has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over MFIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MFIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.015% below
20 week MA$11.015% below
50 week MA$10.28.8% below
100 week MA$9.845.1% below
200 week MA$9.023.5% above

MFIN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 3.5% above its 200-week average.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over MFIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MFIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.15$5.20-27%
2021$5.20$8.45+62%
2022$8.45$6.91-18%
2023$6.91$9.85+43%
2024$9.85$9.37-4.9%
2025$9.37$10.6+13%
2026 YTD$10.6$9.34-12%

MFIN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 12% so far in 2026.

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