JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over MAIN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
MAIN
Main Street Capital Corporation
MAIN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
MAIN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MAIN's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MAIN.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
MAIN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.3x | $44.46 | -21% |
| Fair | 12x | $56.85 | +1.1% |
| Current | 12x | $56.23 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $70.68 | +26% |
| Forward | 15x | $56.23 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MAIN has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
JPM has the edge over MAIN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
MAIN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MAIN's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM has the edge over MAIN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MAIN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.76 | -21% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.78 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.50 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.91 | -3.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.99 | -2.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.00 | -3.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.03 | -2.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.05 | -2.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.09 | -1.2% |
MAIN earned $4.78 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 8.1% for JPM versus down 57% for MAIN.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM's operating margin was 40% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MAIN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | $55.5M | -57% |
| Q1 2022 | $97.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2021 | $135.5M | +32% |
| Q3 2021 | $123.7M | +22% |
| Q2 2021 | $129.7M | +129% |
| Q4 2020 | $102.8M | +183% |
MAIN's revenue has held roughly level: $56M last quarter, down 57% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | 45% | -36 points |
| Q1 2022 | 72% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2021 | 77% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2021 | 78% | -1 points |
| Q2 2021 | 81% | +17 points |
| Q1 2021 | 72% | N/A |
| Q4 2020 | 78% | +37 points |
| Q3 2020 | 79% | N/A |
MAIN's operating margin was 45% last quarter, down 36 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
MAIN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $71.5M | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $116.6M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | -$138.5M | -$118.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$218.5M | -251% |
| Q3 2025 | $90.6M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $102.5M | +$289M |
| Q1 2025 | -$20.4M | +$97.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $145M | -5.6% |
MAIN's free cash flow was −$169M over the past year, against $318M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MAIN.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over MAIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
MAIN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +503K shares |
| 1 year | +4.6% | +4.1M shares |
| 3 years | +13% | +10.8M shares |
| 5 years | +36% | +24.7M shares |
| Available history | +47% | +30M shares |
MAIN has 94M diluted shares, up 4.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | $256,000 |
| Q3 2021 | $575,000 |
| Q2 2021 | $4.5M |
| Q1 2021 | $7,000 |
| Q4 2020 | $124,000 |
| Q3 2020 | — |
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
MAIN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | 6.1x | High |
| Q1 2022 | 4.8x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 4.8x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 4.2x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 4.9x | High |
| Q4 2020 | 71.9x | High |
| Q4 2019 | 8.0x | High |
MAIN's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MAIN.
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
MAIN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.2 | Neutral |
MAIN's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MAIN PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MAIN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 9.7% below |
| PE % | 46 | 63 | 17 pts below |
MAIN has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.
MAIN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $55.0 | 2.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $55.6 | 1.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $56.1 | 0.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 2.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $51.3 | 9.7% above |
MAIN's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 9.7% above its 200-week average.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has the edge over MAIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MAIN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $43.4 | $31.1 | -28% |
| 2021 | $31.1 | $44.0 | +41% |
| 2022 | $44.0 | $36.8 | -16% |
| 2023 | $36.8 | $43.2 | +18% |
| 2024 | $43.2 | $57.9 | +34% |
| 2025 | $57.9 | $60.8 | +5% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.8 | $56.2 | -7.5% |
MAIN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 7.5% so far in 2026.