MAIN
Main Street Capital Corporation
MAIN's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 20%, but its operating margin fell 6 points to 72%. At 12x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.
MAIN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MAIN's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MAIN.
MAIN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.3x | $44.46 | -21% |
| Fair | 12x | $56.85 | +1.1% |
| Current | 12x | $56.23 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $70.68 | +26% |
| Forward | 15x | $56.23 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MAIN's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x, in its expensive range.
MAIN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MAIN's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
MAIN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.76 | -21% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.78 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.50 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.91 | -3.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.99 | -2.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.00 | -3.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.03 | -2.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.05 | -2.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.09 | -1.2% |
MAIN earned $4.78 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
MAIN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | $55.5M | -57% |
| Q1 2022 | $97.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2021 | $135.5M | +32% |
| Q3 2021 | $123.7M | +22% |
| Q2 2021 | $129.7M | +129% |
| Q4 2020 | $102.8M | +183% |
MAIN's revenue has held roughly level: $56M last quarter, down 57% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | 45% | -36 points |
| Q1 2022 | 72% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2021 | 77% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2021 | 78% | -1 points |
| Q2 2021 | 81% | +17 points |
| Q1 2021 | 72% | N/A |
| Q4 2020 | 78% | +37 points |
| Q3 2020 | 79% | N/A |
MAIN's operating margin was 45% last quarter, down 36 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
MAIN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $71.5M | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $116.6M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | -$138.5M | -$118.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$218.5M | -251% |
| Q3 2025 | $90.6M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $102.5M | +$289M |
| Q1 2025 | -$20.4M | +$97.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $145M | -5.6% |
MAIN's free cash flow was −$169M over the past year, against $318M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MAIN.
MAIN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +503K shares |
| 1 year | +4.6% | +4.1M shares |
| 3 years | +13% | +10.8M shares |
| 5 years | +36% | +24.7M shares |
| Available history | +47% | +30M shares |
MAIN has 94M diluted shares, up 4.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | $256,000 |
| Q3 2021 | $575,000 |
| Q2 2021 | $4.5M |
| Q1 2021 | $7,000 |
| Q4 2020 | $124,000 |
| Q3 2020 | — |
MAIN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | 6.1x | High |
| Q1 2022 | 4.8x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 4.8x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 4.2x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 4.9x | High |
| Q4 2020 | 71.9x | High |
| Q4 2019 | 8.0x | High |
MAIN's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MAIN.
MAIN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.2 | Neutral |
MAIN's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
MAIN PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MAIN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 9.7% below |
| PE % | 46 | 63 | 17 pts below |
MAIN is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MAIN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $55.0 | 2.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $55.6 | 1.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $56.1 | 0.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 2.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $51.3 | 9.7% above |
MAIN's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 9.7% above its 200-week average.
MAIN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $43.4 | $31.1 | -28% |
| 2021 | $31.1 | $44.0 | +41% |
| 2022 | $44.0 | $36.8 | -16% |
| 2023 | $36.8 | $43.2 | +18% |
| 2024 | $43.2 | $57.9 | +34% |
| 2025 | $57.9 | $60.8 | +5% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.8 | $56.2 | -7.5% |
MAIN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 7.5% so far in 2026.