JCI

Johnson Controls International plc

69
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

JCI has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

JCI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

JCI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$95.28-33%
Forward22x$143—
Fair30x$139-2.7%
Current31x$143—
Expensive36x$169+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JCI's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JCI, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$173.73
Downside-15%$121.81

Calculated from the latest close: $142.55 on Nov 12.

JCI trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JCI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.07Q1 2024: $2.47Q2 2024: $2.39Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.60Q1 2025: $3.73Q2 2025: $3.35Q3 2025: $5.03Q4 2025: $5.25Q1 2026: $5.53Q2 2026: $5.68Q3 2026: $4.67Forward: $6.34
Q4 2023: $3.07Q1 2024: $2.47Q2 2024: $2.39Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.60Q1 2025: $3.73Q2 2025: $3.35Q3 2025: $5.03Q4 2025: $5.25Q1 2026: $5.53Q2 2026: $5.68Q3 2026: $4.67Forward: $6.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.34+36%
Q3 2026$4.67-7.2%
Q2 2026$5.68+70%
Q1 2026$5.53+48%
Q4 2025$5.25+102%
Q3 2025$5.03+100%
Q2 2025$3.35+40%
Q1 2025$3.73+51%
Q4 2024$2.60-15%

JCI has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

JCI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.1BQ1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $5.4BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $6.4BQ4 2025: $5.8BQ1 2026: $6.1BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $7.1B
Q4 2023: $6.1BQ1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $5.4BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $6.4BQ4 2025: $5.8BQ1 2026: $6.1BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $7.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.1B+10%
Q2 2026$6.6B+9.3%
Q1 2026$6.1B+8.2%
Q4 2025$5.8B+6.8%
Q3 2025$6.4B+120%
Q2 2025$6.1B-16%
Q1 2025$5.7B-15%
Q4 2024$5.4B-11%

JCI's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $7.1B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over JCI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JCI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$338MQ1 2024: −$336MQ2 2024: $922MQ3 2024: $826MQ4 2024: $133MQ1 2025: $456MQ2 2025: $693MQ3 2025: $838MQ4 2025: $531MQ1 2026: $604MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$338MQ1 2024: −$336MQ2 2024: $922MQ3 2024: $826MQ4 2024: $133MQ1 2025: $456MQ2 2025: $693MQ3 2025: $838MQ4 2025: $531MQ1 2026: $604MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+29%
Q2 2026$1.5B+117%
Q1 2026$604M+32%
Q4 2025$531M+299%
Q3 2025$838M+1.5%
Q2 2025$693M-25%
Q1 2025$456M+$792M
Q4 2024$133M+$471M

JCI has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

JCI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 682MQ1 2024: 679MQ2 2024: 673MQ3 2024: 676MQ4 2024: 665MQ1 2025: 661MQ2 2025: 657MQ3 2025: 654MQ4 2025: 614MQ1 2026: 614MQ2 2026: 613MQ3 2026: 611M
Q4 2023: 682MQ1 2024: 679MQ2 2024: 673MQ3 2024: 676MQ4 2024: 665MQ1 2025: 661MQ2 2025: 657MQ3 2025: 654MQ4 2025: 614MQ1 2026: 614MQ2 2026: 613MQ3 2026: 611M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-2M shares
1 year-6.6%-43.1M shares
3 years-11%-76.4M shares
5 years-15%-110M shares
Available history-21%-163M shares

JCI has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

JCI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.8xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.8xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20253.0xModerate
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20243.8xElevated

JCI's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

JCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic35.5Neutral

JCI's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

JCI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricJCISector medianRelative
PE31x24x27% above
PE %56582 pts below

JCI is trading at 31x earnings, a 27% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$147.53.3% below
20 week MA$145.82.2% below
50 week MA$137.73.5% above
100 week MA$117.322% above
200 week MA$90.857% above

JCI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 57% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

JCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.1$45.9+12%
2021$45.9$78.1+70%
2022$78.1$64.1-18%
2023$64.1$57.6-10%
2024$57.6$79.8+38%
2025$79.8$122.1+53%
2026 YTD$122.1$142.6+17%

JCI has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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