JCI

Johnson Controls International plc

69
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

JCI's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 5 points to 14% and free cash flow grew 75%. At 31x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

JCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

JCI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

JCI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$95.28-33%
Forward22x$143—
Fair30x$139-2.7%
Current31x$143—
Expensive36x$169+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JCI's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

JCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JCI, with profitability improving.

JCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$173.73
Downside-15%$121.81

Calculated from the latest close: $142.55 on Nov 12.

JCI's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +22% against −15%.

JCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.07Q1 2024: $2.47Q2 2024: $2.39Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.60Q1 2025: $3.73Q2 2025: $3.35Q3 2025: $5.03Q4 2025: $5.25Q1 2026: $5.53Q2 2026: $5.68Q3 2026: $4.67Forward: $6.34
Q4 2023: $3.07Q1 2024: $2.47Q2 2024: $2.39Q3 2024: $2.52Q4 2024: $2.60Q1 2025: $3.73Q2 2025: $3.35Q3 2025: $5.03Q4 2025: $5.25Q1 2026: $5.53Q2 2026: $5.68Q3 2026: $4.67Forward: $6.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.34+36%
Q3 2026$4.67-7.2%
Q2 2026$5.68+70%
Q1 2026$5.53+48%
Q4 2025$5.25+102%
Q3 2025$5.03+100%
Q2 2025$3.35+40%
Q1 2025$3.73+51%
Q4 2024$2.60-15%

JCI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.67 over the past year, against $6.32 in late 2019.

JCI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.1BQ1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $5.4BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $6.4BQ4 2025: $5.8BQ1 2026: $6.1BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $7.1B
Q4 2023: $6.1BQ1 2024: $6.7BQ2 2024: $7.2BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $5.4BQ1 2025: $5.7BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $6.4BQ4 2025: $5.8BQ1 2026: $6.1BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $7.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.1B+10%
Q2 2026$6.6B+9.3%
Q1 2026$6.1B+8.2%
Q4 2025$5.8B+6.8%
Q3 2025$6.4B+120%
Q2 2025$6.1B-16%
Q1 2025$5.7B-15%
Q4 2024$5.4B-11%

JCI's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $7.1B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

JCI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$338MQ1 2024: −$336MQ2 2024: $922MQ3 2024: $826MQ4 2024: $133MQ1 2025: $456MQ2 2025: $693MQ3 2025: $838MQ4 2025: $531MQ1 2026: $604MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$338MQ1 2024: −$336MQ2 2024: $922MQ3 2024: $826MQ4 2024: $133MQ1 2025: $456MQ2 2025: $693MQ3 2025: $838MQ4 2025: $531MQ1 2026: $604MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+29%
Q2 2026$1.5B+117%
Q1 2026$604M+32%
Q4 2025$531M+299%
Q3 2025$838M+1.5%
Q2 2025$693M-25%
Q1 2025$456M+$792M
Q4 2024$133M+$471M

JCI generated $3.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 75% from the year before.

JCI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 682MQ1 2024: 679MQ2 2024: 673MQ3 2024: 676MQ4 2024: 665MQ1 2025: 661MQ2 2025: 657MQ3 2025: 654MQ4 2025: 614MQ1 2026: 614MQ2 2026: 613MQ3 2026: 611M
Q4 2023: 682MQ1 2024: 679MQ2 2024: 673MQ3 2024: 676MQ4 2024: 665MQ1 2025: 661MQ2 2025: 657MQ3 2025: 654MQ4 2025: 614MQ1 2026: 614MQ2 2026: 613MQ3 2026: 611M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-2M shares
1 year-6.6%-43.1M shares
3 years-11%-76.4M shares
5 years-15%-110M shares
Available history-21%-163M shares

JCI has 611M diluted shares, down 6.6% from a year ago, with $1.1B in buybacks over the past year.

JCI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.8xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.8xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20253.0xModerate
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20243.8xElevated

JCI's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago.

JCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic35.5Neutral

JCI's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

JCI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricJCISector medianRelative
PE31x24x27% above
PE %56582 pts below

JCI is trading at 31x earnings, a 27% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

JCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$147.53.3% below
20 week MA$145.82.2% below
50 week MA$137.73.5% above
100 week MA$117.322% above
200 week MA$90.857% above

JCI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 57% above its 200-week average.

JCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.1$45.9+12%
2021$45.9$78.1+70%
2022$78.1$64.1-18%
2023$64.1$57.6-10%
2024$57.6$79.8+38%
2025$79.8$122.1+53%
2026 YTD$122.1$142.6+17%

JCI has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 17% so far in 2026.

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