IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

UPST

Upstart Holdings, Inc.

62
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

UPST's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 31x earnings, less than half its usual 75x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

UPST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

UPST's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UPST.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UPST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1549x3098x4647x6196x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1549x3098x4647x6196x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$19.15—
Cheap30x$18.54-3.2%
Current31x$19.15—
Fair75x$46.41+142%
Expensive441x$273+1328%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UPST's PE is in its cheap range at 31x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 18x.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

IREN has the edge over UPST on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

UPST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect UPST's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IREN and UPST's risk to reward.

UPST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+74%$33.35
Downside-33%$12.87

Calculated from the latest close: $19.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IREN and UPST's risk to reward.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

UPST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.87Q1 2024: $-2.03Q2 2024: $-2.31Q3 2024: $-1.90Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-0.73Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.45Q1 2026: $0.41Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.62Forward: $1.04
Q4 2023: $-2.87Q1 2024: $-2.03Q2 2024: $-2.31Q3 2024: $-1.90Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-0.73Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.45Q1 2026: $0.41Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.62Forward: $1.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.04+67%
Q3 2026$0.62+158%
Q2 2026$0.52+$0.58
Q1 2026$0.41+$1.14
Q4 2025$0.45+$1.89
Q3 2025$0.24+$2.14
Q2 2025-$0.06+$2.25
Q1 2025-$0.73+$1.30
Q4 2024-$1.44+$1.43

UPST has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN's revenue has held roughly level: $228M last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

UPST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $257MQ3 2025: $277MQ4 2025: $296MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $365MQ3 2026: $371M
Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $257MQ3 2025: $277MQ4 2025: $296MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $365MQ3 2026: $371M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$370.5M+34%
Q2 2026$364.7M+42%
Q1 2026$308.2M+44%
Q4 2025$296.1M+35%
Q3 2025$277.1M+71%
Q2 2025$257.3M+102%
Q1 2025$213.4M+67%
Q4 2024$219M+56%

UPST's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $371M last quarter, up 34% from the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$222MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$387MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$468MQ1 2026: −$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$222MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$387MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$468MQ1 2026: −$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was −$2.5B over the past year, against −$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

UPST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$144MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: −$120MQ3 2025: −$123MQ4 2025: $108MQ1 2026: −$136MQ2 2026: −$139MQ3 2026: −$21M
Q4 2023: −$144MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: −$120MQ3 2025: −$123MQ4 2025: $108MQ1 2026: −$136MQ2 2026: −$139MQ3 2026: −$21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$20.6M+$102.1M
Q2 2026-$138.7M-$18.4M
Q1 2026-$136M-$122.6M
Q4 2025$108.4M+$219.3M
Q3 2025-$122.7M-168%
Q2 2025-$120.3M-284%
Q1 2025-$13.5M-126%
Q4 2024-$110.9M+$33M

UPST's free cash flow was −$187M over the past year, against −$367M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UPST.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has the edge over UPST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UPST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 84MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 90MQ4 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 125M
Q4 2023: 84MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 90MQ4 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 125M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+14%+15.7M shares
1 year+14%+15.7M shares
3 years+49%+41M shares
5 years+31%+29.4M shares
Available history+771%+111M shares

UPST has 125M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

UPST Net Leverage

Q3 2025: -11.7xQ4 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -7.4xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.3x
Q3 2025: -11.7xQ4 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -7.4xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-7.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-11.7xNet Cash
Q3 2022-39.2xNet Cash
Q2 2022-7.7xNet Cash
Q1 2022-4.5xNet Cash

UPST has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UPST.

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

UPST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.1Neutral
Stochastic5.5Oversold

UPST's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UPST PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUPSTSector medianRelative
PE31x13x137% above
PE %186143 pts below

UPST is trading at 31x earnings, a 137% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has the edge over UPST on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UPST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.816% below
20 week MA$26.728% below
50 week MA$31.740% below
100 week MA$44.857% below
200 week MA$38.650% below

UPST is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN has the edge over UPST on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UPST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.1$44.0-0.3%
2021$44.0$148.1+237%
2022$148.1$13.2-91%
2023$13.2$40.9+210%
2024$40.9$68.0+66%
2025$68.0$47.5-30%
2026 YTD$47.5$19.2-60%

UPST's yearly returns have swung widely, from +237% in 2021 to −91% in 2022. It's down 60% so far in 2026.

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