IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

PGR

The Progressive Corporation

51
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential34/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PGR's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 7.7%, while its operating margin held steady at 16%. At 12x earnings, it's trading below its usual 16x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

PGR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PGR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PGR.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PGR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$211-10%
Current12x$235—
Forward15x$235—
Fair16x$311+32%
Expensive46x$904+284%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PGR's PE is in its cheap range at 12x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 15x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

IREN has the edge over PGR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

PGR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect PGR's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IREN and PGR's risk to reward.

PGR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$260.87
Downside-21%$186.27

Calculated from the latest close: $235.49 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IREN and PGR's risk to reward.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

PGR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.58Q1 2024: $9.77Q2 2024: $11.68Q3 2024: $13.76Q4 2024: $14.40Q1 2025: $14.83Q2 2025: $17.75Q3 2025: $18.23Q4 2025: $19.23Q1 2026: $19.66Q2 2026: $19.93Q3 2026: $19.85Forward: $15.96
Q4 2023: $6.58Q1 2024: $9.77Q2 2024: $11.68Q3 2024: $13.76Q4 2024: $14.40Q1 2025: $14.83Q2 2025: $17.75Q3 2025: $18.23Q4 2025: $19.23Q1 2026: $19.66Q2 2026: $19.93Q3 2026: $19.85Forward: $15.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.96-20%
Q3 2026$19.85+8.9%
Q2 2026$19.93+12%
Q1 2026$19.66+33%
Q4 2025$19.23+34%
Q3 2025$18.23+32%
Q2 2025$17.75+52%
Q1 2025$14.83+52%
Q4 2024$14.40+119%

PGR has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN's revenue has held roughly level: $228M last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

PGR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $16.9BQ1 2024: $17.2BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: $19.7BQ4 2024: $20.3BQ1 2025: $20.4BQ2 2025: $22BQ3 2025: $22.5BQ4 2025: $22.7BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $23.6BQ3 2026: $23.2B
Q4 2023: $16.9BQ1 2024: $17.2BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: $19.7BQ4 2024: $20.3BQ1 2025: $20.4BQ2 2025: $22BQ3 2025: $22.5BQ4 2025: $22.7BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $23.6BQ3 2026: $23.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.2B+3%
Q2 2026$23.6B+7.3%
Q1 2026$22.2B+8.7%
Q4 2025$22.7B+12%
Q3 2025$22.5B+14%
Q2 2025$22B+21%
Q1 2025$20.4B+18%
Q4 2024$20.3B+20%

PGR's revenue has grown year over year for 17 quarters in a row: $23.2B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$222MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$387MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$468MQ1 2026: −$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$222MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$387MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$468MQ1 2026: −$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was −$2.5B over the past year, against −$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

PGR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $5.1BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $5.1BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B-14%
Q2 2026$3.5B-12%
Q1 2026$4.3B-15%
Q4 2025$3B+5.2%
Q3 2025$5.1B+13%
Q2 2025$3.9B+23%
Q1 2025$5.1B+21%
Q4 2024$2.9B+23%

PGR has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

PGR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 588MQ1 2024: 587MQ2 2024: 587MQ3 2024: 588MQ4 2024: 588MQ1 2025: 588MQ2 2025: 588MQ3 2025: 588MQ4 2025: 588MQ1 2026: 587MQ2 2026: 584MQ3 2026: 582M
Q4 2023: 588MQ1 2024: 587MQ2 2024: 587MQ3 2024: 588MQ4 2024: 588MQ1 2025: 588MQ2 2025: 588MQ3 2025: 588MQ4 2025: 588MQ1 2026: 587MQ2 2026: 584MQ3 2026: 582M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-2M shares
1 year-1%-6M shares
3 years-0.9%-5.3M shares
5 years-0.8%-4.9M shares
Available history-0.9%-5M shares

PGR has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

PGR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xNet Cash

PGR has the edge over IREN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

PGR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.4Neutral
Stochastic80.4Overbought

PGR's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PGR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPGRSector medianRelative
PE12x13x8.9% below
PE %286335 pts below

PGR is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

PGR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.86.2% above
20 week MA$219.27.4% above
50 week MA$211.911% above
100 week MA$232.61.3% above
200 week MA$206.314% above

PGR has the edge over IREN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to −93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

PGR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.2$98.3+36%
2021$98.3$101.3+3%
2022$101.3$129.4+28%
2023$129.4$159.3+23%
2024$159.3$241.0+51%
2025$241.0$227.1-5.8%
2026 YTD$227.1$235.5+3.7%

PGR has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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