PGR
The Progressive Corporation
PGR's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 7.7%, while its operating margin held steady at 16%. At 12x earnings, it's trading below its usual 16x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.
PGR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
PGR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PGR.
PGR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $211 | -10% |
| Current | 12x | $235 | — |
| Forward | 15x | $235 | — |
| Fair | 16x | $311 | +32% |
| Expensive | 46x | $904 | +284% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PGR's PE is in its cheap range at 12x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 15x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
PGR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect PGR's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PGR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $15.99 | -19% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.85 | +8.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.93 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.66 | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.23 | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.23 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $17.75 | +52% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.83 | +52% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.40 | +119% |
PGR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.85 over the past year, up 8.9% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
PGR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $23.2B | +3% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.6B | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.2B | +8.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.7B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.5B | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $22B | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.4B | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $20.3B | +20% |
PGR's revenue has grown year over year for 17 quarters in a row: $23.2B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | -0.2 points |
PGR's operating margin was 14% last quarter, down 0.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
PGR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.3B | -15% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.1B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.9B | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.1B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.9B | +23% |
PGR's free cash flow was $15.2B over the past year, down 11% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PGR.
PGR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -6M shares |
| 3 years | -0.9% | -5.3M shares |
| 5 years | -0.8% | -4.9M shares |
| Available history | -0.9% | -5M shares |
PGR has 582M diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago.
PGR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
PGR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PGR.
PGR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.4 | Overbought |
PGR's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
PGR PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | PGR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 8.9% below |
| PE % | 28 | 63 | 35 pts below |
PGR is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
PGR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 6.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $219.2 | 7.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $211.9 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $232.6 | 1.3% above |
| 200 week MA | $206.3 | 14% above |
PGR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% above its 200-week average.
PGR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.2 | $98.3 | +36% |
| 2021 | $98.3 | $101.3 | +3% |
| 2022 | $101.3 | $129.4 | +28% |
| 2023 | $129.4 | $159.3 | +23% |
| 2024 | $159.3 | $241.0 | +51% |
| 2025 | $241.0 | $227.1 | -5.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $227.1 | $235.5 | +3.7% |
PGR has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 3.7% so far in 2026.