IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

MTG

MGIC Investment Corporation

51
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MTG's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 5 points to 73% and revenue fell 2.2%. At 8.6x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 8.2x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

MTG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

MTG's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MTG.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.1x6.2x9.3x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.1x6.2x9.3x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$18.32-34%
Fair8.2x$26.43-4.8%
Forward8.3x$27.76—
Current8.6x$27.76—
Expensive9.3x$29.95+7.9%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTG's PE is in its fair range at 8.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.3x next year's earnings.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MTG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MTG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IREN and MTG's risk to reward.

MTG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$32.54
Downside-10%$24.88

Calculated from the latest close: $27.76 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IREN and MTG's risk to reward.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MTG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.49Q1 2024: $2.60Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.84Q4 2024: $2.89Q1 2025: $3.00Q2 2025: $3.04Q3 2025: $3.10Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.15Q2 2026: $3.20Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $3.36
Q4 2023: $2.49Q1 2024: $2.60Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.84Q4 2024: $2.89Q1 2025: $3.00Q2 2025: $3.04Q3 2025: $3.10Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.15Q2 2026: $3.20Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $3.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.36+4.4%
Q3 2026$3.22+3.9%
Q2 2026$3.20+5.3%
Q1 2026$3.15+5%
Q4 2025$3.14+8.7%
Q3 2025$3.10+9.2%
Q2 2025$3.04+12%
Q1 2025$3.00+15%
Q4 2024$2.89+16%

MTG has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN has the edge over MTG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $284MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $305MQ3 2024: $307MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $306MQ2 2025: $304MQ3 2025: $305MQ4 2025: $299MQ1 2026: $297MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $299M
Q4 2023: $284MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $305MQ3 2024: $307MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $306MQ2 2025: $304MQ3 2025: $305MQ4 2025: $299MQ1 2026: $297MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $299M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$299.1M-1.8%
Q2 2026$295.4M-2.9%
Q1 2026$297.1M-3%
Q4 2025$298.7M-0.9%
Q3 2025$304.5M-0.7%
Q2 2025$304.2M-0.3%
Q1 2025$306.2M+4%
Q4 2024$301.4M+6.2%

MTG's revenue has held roughly level: $299M last quarter, down 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$222MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$387MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$468MQ1 2026: −$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$222MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$387MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: −$38MQ4 2025: −$468MQ1 2026: −$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: −$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was −$2.5B over the past year, against −$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

MTG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $186MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $182MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $224MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $215MQ4 2025: $230MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $216M
Q4 2023: $186MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $182MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $224MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $215MQ4 2025: $230MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $216M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$216.3M+0.6%
Q2 2026$184.5M+0.8%
Q1 2026$76.7M-66%
Q4 2025$230.2M+27%
Q3 2025$215.1M+18%
Q2 2025$183M+8.3%
Q1 2025$223.5M+17%
Q4 2024$181.9M-2.1%

MTG has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

MTG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 273MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 261MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 246MQ2 2025: 238MQ3 2025: 231MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 218MQ2 2026: 211MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 273MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 261MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 246MQ2 2025: 238MQ3 2025: 231MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 218MQ2 2026: 211MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.6%-5.5M shares
1 year-11%-26M shares
3 years-28%-80.2M shares
5 years-42%-148M shares
Available history-45%-169M shares

MTG has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

MTG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

MTG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MTG.

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MTG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.6Neutral
Stochastic42.7Neutral

MTG's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMTGSector medianRelative
PE8.6x13x34% below
PE %62631 pt below

MTG is trading at 8.6x earnings, a 34% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

MTG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.01% below
20 week MA$29.25.1% below
50 week MA$27.90.5% below
100 week MA$27.02.9% above
200 week MA$23.120% above

MTG has the edge over IREN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to −93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

MTG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.1$12.3-13%
2021$12.3$14.1+15%
2022$14.1$12.9-8.2%
2023$12.9$19.3+49%
2024$19.3$23.7+23%
2025$23.7$29.8+26%
2026 YTD$29.8$27.8-6.8%

MTG has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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