MTG
MGIC Investment Corporation
MTG's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 5 points to 73% and revenue fell 2.2%. At 8.6x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 8.2x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
MTG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MTG's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MTG.
MTG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.7x | $18.32 | -34% |
| Fair | 8.2x | $26.43 | -4.8% |
| Forward | 8.3x | $27.76 | — |
| Current | 8.6x | $27.76 | — |
| Expensive | 9.3x | $29.95 | +7.9% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MTG's PE is in its fair range at 8.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.3x next year's earnings.
MTG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MTG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MTG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.36 | +4.4% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.22 | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.20 | +5.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.15 | +5% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.14 | +8.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.10 | +9.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.04 | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.00 | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.89 | +16% |
MTG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.22 over the past year, up 3.9% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.
MTG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $299.1M | -1.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $295.4M | -2.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $297.1M | -3% |
| Q4 2025 | $298.7M | -0.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $304.5M | -0.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $304.2M | -0.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $306.2M | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $301.4M | +6.2% |
MTG's revenue has held roughly level: $299M last quarter, down 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 74% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 78% | -3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 70% | -7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 71% | -6.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 77% | -5.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 81% | -4.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 77% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 78% | -3.1 points |
MTG's operating margin was 74% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MTG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $216.3M | +0.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $184.5M | +0.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $76.7M | -66% |
| Q4 2025 | $230.2M | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $215.1M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $183M | +8.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $223.5M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $181.9M | -2.1% |
MTG's free cash flow was $708M over the past year, down 12% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MTG.
MTG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.6% | -5.5M shares |
| 1 year | -11% | -26M shares |
| 3 years | -28% | -80.2M shares |
| 5 years | -42% | -148M shares |
| Available history | -45% | -169M shares |
MTG has 205M diluted shares, down 11% from a year ago, with $718M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $151.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $184.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $192.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $189.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $187.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $186.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $225.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $194.7M |
MTG spent $718M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 9.6% from the year before.
MTG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
MTG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MTG.
MTG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.7 | Neutral |
MTG's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).
MTG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MTG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.6x | 13x | 34% below |
| PE % | 62 | 63 | 1 pt below |
MTG is trading at 8.6x earnings, a 34% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MTG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $28.0 | 1% below |
| 20 week MA | $29.2 | 5.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $27.9 | 0.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $27.0 | 2.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $23.1 | 20% above |
MTG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 20% above its 200-week average.
MTG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.1 | $12.3 | -13% |
| 2021 | $12.3 | $14.1 | +15% |
| 2022 | $14.1 | $12.9 | -8.2% |
| 2023 | $12.9 | $19.3 | +49% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $23.7 | +23% |
| 2025 | $23.7 | $29.8 | +26% |
| 2026 YTD | $29.8 | $27.8 | -6.8% |
MTG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 6.8% so far in 2026.