IPGP

IPG Photonics Corporation

57
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

IPGP has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over IPGP overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

IPGP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

IPGP's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

IPGP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x108x162x216x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x108x162x216x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$19.24-73%
Forward35x$70.86—
Fair47x$43.25-39%
Current76x$70.86—
Expensive111x$103+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IPGP's PE is in its expensive range at 76x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR has the edge over IPGP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

IPGP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for IPGP, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PLTR, with profitability improving.

IPGP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$118.06
Downside-15%$60.09

Calculated from the latest close: $70.86 on Nov 12.

IPGP trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IPGP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IPGP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.03Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-4.09Q1 2025: $-4.52Q2 2025: $-4.81Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.73Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.64Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.03Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-4.09Q1 2025: $-4.52Q2 2025: $-4.81Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.73Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.64Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+118%
Q3 2026$0.93+33%
Q2 2026$0.64+$5.45
Q1 2026$0.68+$5.20
Q4 2025$0.73+$4.82
Q3 2025$0.70+$4.16
Q2 2025-$4.81-259%
Q1 2025-$4.52-216%
Q4 2024-$4.09-188%

IPGP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.93 over the past year, against $5.21 in early 2022.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over IPGP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $299MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $228MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $251MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $288M
Q4 2023: $299MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $228MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $251MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $288M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$287.5M+15%
Q2 2026$278.6M+11%
Q1 2026$265.5M+17%
Q4 2025$274.5M+17%
Q3 2025$250.8M+7.6%
Q2 2025$250.7M-2.7%
Q1 2025$227.8M-9.6%
Q4 2024$234.3M-22%

IPGP's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $288M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over IPGP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.8M+98%
Q2 2026$17.1M+$34.7M
Q1 2026-$21.8M-$10.4M
Q4 2025$10.9M-78%
Q3 2025$14.6M-66%
Q2 2025-$17.6M-160%
Q1 2025-$11.4M-143%
Q4 2024$50.6M-37%

IPGP still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2019 peak: $35M over the past year.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over IPGP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-72.9K shares
1 year+0.7%+284K shares
3 years-9.6%-4.5M shares
5 years-20%-11M shares
Available history-20%-11M shares

IPGP has 43M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has the edge over IPGP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IPGP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2025: -4.1xQ4 2025: -5.1xQ1 2026: -6.8xQ2 2026: -5.3xQ3 2026: -8.1x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2025: -4.1xQ4 2025: -5.1xQ1 2026: -6.8xQ2 2026: -5.3xQ3 2026: -8.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-8.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-1.7xNet Cash

IPGP has the edge over PLTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has more cash than debt.

IPGP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.4Neutral
Stochastic17.8Oversold

IPGP's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

IPGP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIPGPSector medianRelative
PE76x28x173% above
PE %763541 pts above

IPGP has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

IPGP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.94.1% below
20 week MA$82.314% below
50 week MA$97.227% below
100 week MA$84.616% below
200 week MA$90.922% below

IPGP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over IPGP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IPGP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$143.9$221.0+54%
2021$221.0$168.9-24%
2022$168.9$92.9-45%
2023$92.9$108.5+17%
2024$108.5$73.4-32%
2025$73.4$75.2+2.4%
2026 YTD$75.2$70.9-5.7%

IPGP has the edge over PLTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +361% in 2024 to −67% in 2022. It's down 9.1% so far in 2026.

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