IPGP
IPG Photonics Corporation
IPGP's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 76x earnings, above its usual 47x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.
IPGP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
IPGP's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
IPGP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $19.24 | -73% |
| Forward | 35x | $70.86 | — |
| Fair | 47x | $43.25 | -39% |
| Current | 76x | $70.86 | — |
| Expensive | 111x | $103 | +46% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
IPGP's PE is in its expensive range at 76x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
IPGP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for IPGP, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
IPGP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +118% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.93 | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.64 | +$5.45 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.68 | +$5.20 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.73 | +$4.82 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.70 | +$4.16 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.81 | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.52 | -216% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.09 | -188% |
IPGP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.93 over the past year, against $5.21 in early 2022.
IPGP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $287.5M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $278.6M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $265.5M | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $274.5M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $250.8M | +7.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $250.7M | -2.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $227.8M | -9.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.3M | -22% |
IPGP's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $288M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.2% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.9% | -3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2% | -4.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +112 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0% | -4.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -6.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6% | -3.7 points |
IPGP's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, up 4.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
IPGP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28.8M | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.1M | +$34.7M |
| Q1 2026 | -$21.8M | -$10.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $10.9M | -78% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.6M | -66% |
| Q2 2025 | -$17.6M | -160% |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.4M | -143% |
| Q4 2024 | $50.6M | -37% |
IPGP still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2019 peak: $35M over the past year.
IPGP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -72.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +284K shares |
| 3 years | -9.6% | -4.5M shares |
| 5 years | -20% | -11M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -11M shares |
IPGP has 43M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.6M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $57.3M |
| Q3 2024 | $74.5M |
| Q2 2024 | $122.4M |
| Q1 2024 | $89.6M |
| Q4 2023 | $64M |
IPGP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -8.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -5.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -4.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
IPGP has more cash than debt.
IPGP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.8 | Oversold |
IPGP's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
IPGP PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | IPGP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 76x | 28x | 173% above |
| PE % | 76 | 35 | 41 pts above |
IPGP is trading at 76x earnings, a 173% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
IPGP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $73.9 | 4.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $82.3 | 14% below |
| 50 week MA | $97.2 | 27% below |
| 100 week MA | $84.6 | 16% below |
| 200 week MA | $90.9 | 22% below |
IPGP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.
IPGP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $143.9 | $221.0 | +54% |
| 2021 | $221.0 | $168.9 | -24% |
| 2022 | $168.9 | $92.9 | -45% |
| 2023 | $92.9 | $108.5 | +17% |
| 2024 | $108.5 | $73.4 | -32% |
| 2025 | $73.4 | $75.2 | +2.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $75.2 | $70.9 | -5.7% |
IPGP has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 5.7% so far in 2026.