IPGP

IPG Photonics Corporation

57
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

IPGP's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over IPGP overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

IPGP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

IPGP's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

IPGP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x108x162x216x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x108x162x216x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$19.24-73%
Forward35x$70.86—
Fair47x$43.25-39%
Current76x$70.86—
Expensive111x$103+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IPGP's PE is in its expensive range at 76x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over IPGP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

IPGP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

IPGP has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

IPGP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$118.06
Downside-15%$60.09

Calculated from the latest close: $70.86 on Nov 12.

IPGP trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IPGP, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

IPGP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.03Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-4.09Q1 2025: $-4.52Q2 2025: $-4.81Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.73Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.64Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.03Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-4.09Q1 2025: $-4.52Q2 2025: $-4.81Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.73Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.64Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+118%
Q3 2026$0.93+33%
Q2 2026$0.64+$5.45
Q1 2026$0.68+$5.20
Q4 2025$0.73+$4.82
Q3 2025$0.70+$4.16
Q2 2025-$4.81-259%
Q1 2025-$4.52-216%
Q4 2024-$4.09-188%

IPGP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.93 over the past year, against $5.21 in early 2022.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over IPGP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $299MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $228MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $251MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $288M
Q4 2023: $299MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $228MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $251MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $288M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$287.5M+15%
Q2 2026$278.6M+11%
Q1 2026$265.5M+17%
Q4 2025$274.5M+17%
Q3 2025$250.8M+7.6%
Q2 2025$250.7M-2.7%
Q1 2025$227.8M-9.6%
Q4 2024$234.3M-22%

IPGP's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $288M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over IPGP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.8M+98%
Q2 2026$17.1M+$34.7M
Q1 2026-$21.8M-$10.4M
Q4 2025$10.9M-78%
Q3 2025$14.6M-66%
Q2 2025-$17.6M-160%
Q1 2025-$11.4M-143%
Q4 2024$50.6M-37%

IPGP still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2019 peak: $35M over the past year.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over IPGP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-72.9K shares
1 year+0.7%+284K shares
3 years-9.6%-4.5M shares
5 years-20%-11M shares
Available history-20%-11M shares

IPGP has 43M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over IPGP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IPGP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2025: -4.1xQ4 2025: -5.1xQ1 2026: -6.8xQ2 2026: -5.3xQ3 2026: -8.1x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2025: -4.1xQ4 2025: -5.1xQ1 2026: -6.8xQ2 2026: -5.3xQ3 2026: -8.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-8.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-1.7xNet Cash

IPGP has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

IPGP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.4Neutral
Stochastic17.8Oversold

IPGP's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

IPGP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIPGPSector medianRelative
PE76x28x173% above
PE %763541 pts above

IPGP is trading at 76x earnings, a 173% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over IPGP on valuation relative to its sector.

IPGP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.94.1% below
20 week MA$82.314% below
50 week MA$97.227% below
100 week MA$84.616% below
200 week MA$90.922% below

IPGP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has the edge over IPGP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IPGP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$143.9$221.0+54%
2021$221.0$168.9-24%
2022$168.9$92.9-45%
2023$92.9$108.5+17%
2024$108.5$73.4-32%
2025$73.4$75.2+2.4%
2026 YTD$75.2$70.9-5.7%

IPGP has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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