IPGP

IPG Photonics Corporation

57
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

IPGP's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over IPGP overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

IPGP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

IPGP's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

IPGP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x108x162x216x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x108x162x216x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$19.24-73%
Forward35x$70.86—
Fair47x$43.25-39%
Current76x$70.86—
Expensive111x$103+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IPGP's PE is in its expensive range at 76x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU has the edge over IPGP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

IPGP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for IPGP, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MU, with profitability improving.

IPGP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$118.06
Downside-15%$60.09

Calculated from the latest close: $70.86 on Nov 12.

IPGP trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IPGP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IPGP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.03Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-4.09Q1 2025: $-4.52Q2 2025: $-4.81Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.73Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.64Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.03Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-4.09Q1 2025: $-4.52Q2 2025: $-4.81Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.73Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.64Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+118%
Q3 2026$0.93+33%
Q2 2026$0.64+$5.45
Q1 2026$0.68+$5.20
Q4 2025$0.73+$4.82
Q3 2025$0.70+$4.16
Q2 2025-$4.81-259%
Q1 2025-$4.52-216%
Q4 2024-$4.09-188%

IPGP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.93 over the past year, against $5.21 in early 2022.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU has the edge over IPGP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $299MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $228MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $251MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $288M
Q4 2023: $299MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $228MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $251MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $288M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$287.5M+15%
Q2 2026$278.6M+11%
Q1 2026$265.5M+17%
Q4 2025$274.5M+17%
Q3 2025$250.8M+7.6%
Q2 2025$250.7M-2.7%
Q1 2025$227.8M-9.6%
Q4 2024$234.3M-22%

IPGP's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $288M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over IPGP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.8M+98%
Q2 2026$17.1M+$34.7M
Q1 2026-$21.8M-$10.4M
Q4 2025$10.9M-78%
Q3 2025$14.6M-66%
Q2 2025-$17.6M-160%
Q1 2025-$11.4M-143%
Q4 2024$50.6M-37%

IPGP still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2019 peak: $35M over the past year.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU has the edge over IPGP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-72.9K shares
1 year+0.7%+284K shares
3 years-9.6%-4.5M shares
5 years-20%-11M shares
Available history-20%-11M shares

IPGP has the edge over MU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has 1.1B diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

IPGP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2025: -4.1xQ4 2025: -5.1xQ1 2026: -6.8xQ2 2026: -5.3xQ3 2026: -8.1x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2025: -4.1xQ4 2025: -5.1xQ1 2026: -6.8xQ2 2026: -5.3xQ3 2026: -8.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-8.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-1.7xNet Cash

IPGP has the edge over MU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has more cash than debt.

IPGP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.4Neutral
Stochastic17.8Oversold

IPGP's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

IPGP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIPGPSector medianRelative
PE76x28x173% above
PE %763541 pts above

IPGP is trading at 76x earnings, a 173% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU has the edge over IPGP on valuation relative to its sector.

IPGP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.94.1% below
20 week MA$82.314% below
50 week MA$97.227% below
100 week MA$84.616% below
200 week MA$90.922% below

IPGP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has the edge over IPGP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IPGP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$143.9$221.0+54%
2021$221.0$168.9-24%
2022$168.9$92.9-45%
2023$92.9$108.5+17%
2024$108.5$73.4-32%
2025$73.4$75.2+2.4%
2026 YTD$75.2$70.9-5.7%

IPGP has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 5.7% so far in 2026.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over IPGP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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