INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over VRRM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

VRRM

Verra Mobility Corporation

45
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential20/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

VRRM offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

VRRM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VRRM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRRM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE229x459x688x918x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE229x459x688x918x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward2.6x$1.96—
Current8.2x$1.96—
Cheap31x$7.49+282%
Fair46x$11.05+464%
Expensive111x$26.65+1260%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRRM's PE is in its cheap range at 8.2x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 2.6x.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over VRRM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

VRRM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect VRRM's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VRRM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VRRM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$2.23
Downside-56%$0.87

Calculated from the latest close: $1.96 on Nov 12.

VRRM trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

VRRM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $0.26Q3 2025: $0.34Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $0.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.24Forward: $0.75
Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.50Q2 2024: $0.57Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $0.26Q3 2025: $0.34Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $0.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.24Forward: $0.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.75+214%
Q3 2026$0.24-29%
Q2 2026$0.260%
Q1 2026$0.82+273%
Q4 2025$0.85+347%
Q3 2025$0.34-43%
Q2 2025$0.26-54%
Q1 2025$0.22-56%
Q4 2024$0.19-47%

VRRM has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRRM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $28M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $28M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28.3M-21%
Q2 2026$25.8M-22%
Q1 2026$27.3M-13%
Q4 2025$32.7M+0.7%
Q3 2025$35.7M+26%
Q2 2025$33.2M+15%
Q1 2025$31.4M+19%
Q4 2024$32.4M+17%

VRRM has the edge over INTC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over VRRM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VRRM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $89M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $85MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $89M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$89.4M+83%
Q2 2026$32.6M-19%
Q1 2026$9.6M-77%
Q4 2025$5.7M-73%
Q3 2025$49M-42%
Q2 2025$40.3M+55%
Q1 2025$41.7M+108%
Q4 2024$21.6M+12%

VRRM still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $137M over the past year.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

VRRM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 160MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 169MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 168MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 162MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 152M
Q4 2023: 160MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 169MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 168MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 162MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 152M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+175K shares
1 year-6%-9.7M shares
3 years-10%-17.4M shares
5 years-8%-13.3M shares
Available history-7.5%-12.3M shares

VRRM has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC has the edge over VRRM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VRRM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.7x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.7xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20253.2xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.7xElevated
Q4 20243.9xElevated

VRRM's net debt is about 3.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.1 years a year ago.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

VRRM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI18.4Oversold
Stochastic2.7Oversold

VRRM's weekly RSI is 18 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRRM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVRRMSector medianRelative
PE8.2x28x71% below
PE %33532 pts below

VRRM is trading at 8.2x earnings, a 71% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over VRRM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VRRM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.7428% below
20 week MA$3.6747% below
50 week MA$10.882% below
100 week MA$17.389% below
200 week MA$19.790% below

VRRM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over VRRM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VRRM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.0$13.5-3.6%
2021$13.5$15.2+12%
2022$15.2$13.5-11%
2023$13.5$23.0+71%
2024$23.0$24.1+4.6%
2025$24.1$22.5-6.6%
2026 YTD$22.5$1.96-91%

VRRM has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 91% so far in 2026.

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