INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TXN

Texas Instruments Incorporated

74
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation35/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

TXN has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

TXN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

TXN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TXN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$150-52%
Fair27x$206-34%
Forward28x$312—
Expensive36x$276-12%
Current40x$312—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TXN's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TXN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TXN, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails TXN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TXN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$455.05
Downside-12%$274.17

Calculated from the latest close: $312.48 on Nov 12.

TXN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

TXN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.07Q1 2024: $6.42Q2 2024: $5.77Q3 2024: $5.39Q4 2024: $5.20Q1 2025: $5.28Q2 2025: $5.47Q3 2025: $5.48Q4 2025: $5.45Q1 2026: $5.85Q2 2026: $6.58Q3 2026: $7.72Forward: $11.25
Q4 2023: $7.07Q1 2024: $6.42Q2 2024: $5.77Q3 2024: $5.39Q4 2024: $5.20Q1 2025: $5.28Q2 2025: $5.47Q3 2025: $5.48Q4 2025: $5.45Q1 2026: $5.85Q2 2026: $6.58Q3 2026: $7.72Forward: $11.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.25+46%
Q3 2026$7.72+41%
Q2 2026$6.58+20%
Q1 2026$5.85+11%
Q4 2025$5.45+4.8%
Q3 2025$5.48+1.7%
Q2 2025$5.47-5.2%
Q1 2025$5.28-18%
Q4 2024$5.20-26%

TXN has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

TXN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.1BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $5.5BQ3 2026: $6.1B
Q4 2023: $4.1BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $5.5BQ3 2026: $6.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.1B+28%
Q2 2026$5.5B+23%
Q1 2026$4.8B+19%
Q4 2025$4.4B+10%
Q3 2025$4.7B+14%
Q2 2025$4.4B+16%
Q1 2025$4.1B+11%
Q4 2024$4B-1.7%

TXN has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $3.8B over the past year.

TXN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $776MQ1 2024: −$231MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $806MQ1 2025: −$274MQ2 2025: $555MQ3 2025: $993MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $844MQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $3B
Q4 2023: $776MQ1 2024: −$231MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $806MQ1 2025: −$274MQ2 2025: $555MQ3 2025: $993MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $844MQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3B+198%
Q2 2026$2.2B+294%
Q1 2026$844M+$1.1B
Q4 2025$1.3B+65%
Q3 2025$993M+139%
Q2 2025$555M+9.5%
Q1 2025-$274M-$43M
Q4 2024$806M+3.9%

TXN generated $7.3B in free cash flow over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

TXN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 916MQ1 2024: 917MQ2 2024: 919MQ3 2024: 920MQ4 2024: 919MQ1 2025: 916MQ2 2025: 912MQ3 2025: 914MQ4 2025: 913MQ1 2026: 914MQ2 2026: 920MQ3 2026: 921M
Q4 2023: 916MQ1 2024: 917MQ2 2024: 919MQ3 2024: 920MQ4 2024: 919MQ1 2025: 916MQ2 2025: 912MQ3 2025: 914MQ4 2025: 913MQ1 2026: 914MQ2 2026: 920MQ3 2026: 921M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1M shares
1 year+0.8%+7M shares
3 years+0.5%+5M shares
5 years-1.6%-15M shares
Available history-3.3%-31M shares

TXN has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

TXN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

TXN has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

TXN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.6Neutral
Stochastic72.2Neutral

TXN's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TXN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTXNSector medianRelative
PE40x28x45% above
PE %923557 pts above

TXN is trading at 40x earnings, a 45% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

TXN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$288.48.3% above
20 week MA$281.711% above
50 week MA$251.124% above
100 week MA$217.044% above
200 week MA$197.758% above

TXN has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC is up 69% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

TXN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$128.6$161.6+26%
2021$161.6$187.4+16%
2022$187.4$164.4-12%
2023$164.4$170.5+3.7%
2024$170.5$191.2+12%
2025$191.2$176.9-7.5%
2026 YTD$176.9$312.5+77%

TXN has the edge over INTC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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