TXN

Texas Instruments Incorporated

74
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation35/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

TXN's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 40x earnings, above its usual 27x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

TXN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

TXN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TXN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$150-52%
Fair27x$206-34%
Forward28x$312—
Expensive36x$276-12%
Current40x$312—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TXN's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

TXN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TXN, with profitability improving.

TXN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$455.05
Downside-12%$274.17

Calculated from the latest close: $312.48 on Nov 12.

TXN's one-year upside scenario is about four times its downside: +46% against −12%.

TXN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.07Q1 2024: $6.42Q2 2024: $5.77Q3 2024: $5.39Q4 2024: $5.20Q1 2025: $5.28Q2 2025: $5.47Q3 2025: $5.48Q4 2025: $5.45Q1 2026: $5.85Q2 2026: $6.58Q3 2026: $7.72Forward: $11.25
Q4 2023: $7.07Q1 2024: $6.42Q2 2024: $5.77Q3 2024: $5.39Q4 2024: $5.20Q1 2025: $5.28Q2 2025: $5.47Q3 2025: $5.48Q4 2025: $5.45Q1 2026: $5.85Q2 2026: $6.58Q3 2026: $7.72Forward: $11.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.25+46%
Q3 2026$7.72+41%
Q2 2026$6.58+20%
Q1 2026$5.85+11%
Q4 2025$5.45+4.8%
Q3 2025$5.48+1.7%
Q2 2025$5.47-5.2%
Q1 2025$5.28-18%
Q4 2024$5.20-26%

TXN earned $7.72 per share over the past year, up 41% from the year before.

TXN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.1BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $5.5BQ3 2026: $6.1B
Q4 2023: $4.1BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.4BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $5.5BQ3 2026: $6.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.1B+28%
Q2 2026$5.5B+23%
Q1 2026$4.8B+19%
Q4 2025$4.4B+10%
Q3 2025$4.7B+14%
Q2 2025$4.4B+16%
Q1 2025$4.1B+11%
Q4 2024$4B-1.7%

TXN's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $6.1B last quarter, up 28% from the same quarter a year ago.

TXN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $776MQ1 2024: −$231MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $806MQ1 2025: −$274MQ2 2025: $555MQ3 2025: $993MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $844MQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $3B
Q4 2023: $776MQ1 2024: −$231MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $806MQ1 2025: −$274MQ2 2025: $555MQ3 2025: $993MQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $844MQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3B+198%
Q2 2026$2.2B+294%
Q1 2026$844M+$1.1B
Q4 2025$1.3B+65%
Q3 2025$993M+139%
Q2 2025$555M+9.5%
Q1 2025-$274M-$43M
Q4 2024$806M+3.9%

TXN generated $7.3B in free cash flow over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before.

TXN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 916MQ1 2024: 917MQ2 2024: 919MQ3 2024: 920MQ4 2024: 919MQ1 2025: 916MQ2 2025: 912MQ3 2025: 914MQ4 2025: 913MQ1 2026: 914MQ2 2026: 920MQ3 2026: 921M
Q4 2023: 916MQ1 2024: 917MQ2 2024: 919MQ3 2024: 920MQ4 2024: 919MQ1 2025: 916MQ2 2025: 912MQ3 2025: 914MQ4 2025: 913MQ1 2026: 914MQ2 2026: 920MQ3 2026: 921M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+1M shares
1 year+0.8%+7M shares
3 years+0.5%+5M shares
5 years-1.6%-15M shares
Available history-3.3%-31M shares

TXN has 921M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

TXN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

TXN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.

TXN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.6Neutral
Stochastic72.2Neutral

TXN's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

TXN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTXNSector medianRelative
PE40x28x45% above
PE %923557 pts above

TXN is trading at 40x earnings, a 45% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

TXN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$288.48.3% above
20 week MA$281.711% above
50 week MA$251.124% above
100 week MA$217.044% above
200 week MA$197.758% above

TXN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 58% above its 200-week average.

TXN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$128.6$161.6+26%
2021$161.6$187.4+16%
2022$187.4$164.4-12%
2023$164.4$170.5+3.7%
2024$170.5$191.2+12%
2025$191.2$176.9-7.5%
2026 YTD$176.9$312.5+77%

TXN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 77% so far in 2026.

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