INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
TOST
Toast, Inc.
TOST has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
TOST Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
TOST's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TOST PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 20x | $33.52 | — |
| Current | 36x | $33.52 | — |
| Cheap | 40x | $37.16 | +11% |
| Fair | 72x | $67.15 | +100% |
| Expensive | 162x | $151 | +351% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TOST's PE is in its cheap range at 36x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TOST Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TOST, with profitability improving.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
TOST Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.67 | +79% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.93 | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.80 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.67 | +148% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.56 | +1767% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.47 | +$0.56 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.38 | +$0.63 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.27 | +$0.73 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.03 | +$0.50 |
TOST has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC has the edge over TOST on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TOST Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.6B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.6B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6B | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | +29% |
TOST has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.3% | +3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.8% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.2% | +2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.1% | +2.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.2% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2% | +8.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4% | +7.8 points |
TOST's operating margin was 8.3% last quarter, up 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $3.8B over the past year.
TOST Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $181M | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $130M | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $115M | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $178M | +33% |
| Q3 2025 | $153M | +58% |
| Q2 2025 | $208M | +93% |
| Q1 2025 | $69M | +$102M |
| Q4 2024 | $134M | +148% |
TOST generated $604M in free cash flow over the past year, up 7.1% from the year before.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
TOST Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +2M shares |
| 1 year | -2.8% | -17M shares |
| 3 years | +10% | +55.5M shares |
| 5 years | +147% | +353M shares |
| Available history | +28% | +131M shares |
TOST has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $163M |
| Q1 2026 | $323M |
| Q4 2025 | $53M |
| Q3 2025 | $23M |
| Q2 2025 | $14M |
| Q1 2025 | $17M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
TOST spent $539M buying back its own shares over the past year, about 10 times what it spent the year before.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
TOST Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -4.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -6.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -14.8x | Net Cash |
TOST has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
TOST Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 54.0 | Neutral |
TOST's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TOST PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TOST | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36x | 28x | 29% above |
| PE % | 2 | 45 | 43 pts below |
TOST is trading at 36x earnings, a 29% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.
TOST Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $32.0 | 4.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $32.1 | 4.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $30.2 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $34.8 | 3.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $28.7 | 17% above |
TOST has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over TOST on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TOST Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $55.8 | $39.6 | -29% |
| 2022 | $39.6 | $17.6 | -56% |
| 2023 | $17.6 | $18.3 | +3.6% |
| 2024 | $18.3 | $37.5 | +105% |
| 2025 | $37.5 | $36.4 | -2.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.4 | $33.5 | -8% |
TOST's yearly returns have swung widely, from +105% in 2024 to −56% in 2022. It's down 8% so far in 2026.