INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over SAIL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SAIL

SailPoint, Inc.

61
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

SAIL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

SAIL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Strong
Strong

SAIL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is weak.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SAIL PE Valuation

SAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SAIL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SAIL, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SAIL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SAIL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$33.78
Downside-37%$12.91

Calculated from the latest close: $20.58 on Nov 12.

SAIL trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

SAIL has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 24,000% for INTC versus SAIL down 133%.

SAIL Earnings Per Share

Q2 2022: $-0.98Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.25Q3 2026: $-0.32Forward: $0.38
Q2 2022: $-0.98Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.25Q3 2026: $-0.32Forward: $0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.38—
Q2 2022-$0.98-$0.57
Q1 2022-$0.85-$0.65
Q4 2021-$0.67-$0.55
Q3 2021-$0.61-$0.60
Q2 2021-$0.41-1125%
Q1 2021-$0.20-$0.11
Q4 2020-$0.12-$0.02
Q3 2020-$0.01+$0.01

SAIL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.32 per share over the past year, against $0.98 at its worst in mid-2022.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

SAIL Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2022: $134MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $264MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: $295MQ2 2026: $280MQ3 2026: $309M
Q2 2022: $134MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $264MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: $295MQ2 2026: $280MQ3 2026: $309M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$308.8M+17%
Q2 2026$280.1M+22%
Q1 2026$294.6M+23%
Q4 2025$281.9M+20%
Q3 2025$264.4M+33%
Q2 2025$230.5M+23%
Q1 2025$240.1M+18%
Q2 2022$134.3M+31%

SAIL has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over SAIL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SAIL Free Cash Flow

Q2 2022: −$18MQ1 2024: −$55MQ2 2024: −$58MQ3 2024: −$57MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: −$99MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $37MQ3 2026: $43M
Q2 2022: −$18MQ1 2024: −$55MQ2 2024: −$58MQ3 2024: −$57MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: −$99MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $37MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43M-12%
Q2 2026$37.3M+$136.3M
Q1 2026$62.1M+425%
Q4 2025$52.5M+$69.3M
Q3 2025$49M+$105.5M
Q2 2025-$99M-$40.5M
Q1 2025$11.8M+$66.7M
Q2 2022-$18.4M-$4.8M

SAIL's free cash flow has turned positive after three years mostly in the red: $195M over the past year.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

SAIL Total Shares

Q2 2022: 94MQ1 2024: 138MQ2 2024: 182MQ3 2024: 545MQ4 2024: 545MQ2 2025: 500MQ3 2025: 556MQ4 2025: 558MQ1 2026: 544MQ2 2026: 565MQ3 2026: 568M
Q2 2022: 94MQ1 2024: 138MQ2 2024: 182MQ3 2024: 545MQ4 2024: 545MQ2 2025: 500MQ3 2025: 556MQ4 2025: 558MQ1 2026: 544MQ2 2026: 565MQ3 2026: 568M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+3.6M shares
1 year+2.2%+12.4M shares
3 years+513%+475M shares
5 years+539%+479M shares
Available history+559%+482M shares

SAIL has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

SAIL Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ3 2025: -4.7xQ4 2025: -7.4xQ2 2026: -41.3x
Q1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ3 2025: -4.7xQ4 2025: -7.4xQ2 2026: -41.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-41.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q1 20255.2xHigh
Q1 2021-45.8xNet Cash
Q4 2020-26.6xNet Cash
Q3 2020-17.3xNet Cash

SAIL has more cash than debt.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

SAIL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.0Neutral
Stochastic62.8Neutral

SAIL's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SAIL PE vs Technology Sector

SAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

SAIL has stronger trend alignment. INTC is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus SAIL above 3 of 3.

SAIL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.40.9% above
20 week MA$18.611% above
50 week MA$16.823% above

SAIL is in an uptrend: it's above all three of its weekly moving averages, and 23% above its 50-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over SAIL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SAIL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$24.6$21.2-14%
2026 YTD$21.2$20.6-2.7%

SAIL has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 2.7% so far in 2026.

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