INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC has the edge over SAIC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
SAIC
Science Applications International Corporation
SAIC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
SAIC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
SAIC's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SAIC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $114 | -25% |
| Forward | 14x | $151 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $157 | +3.7% |
| Current | 18x | $151 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $202 | +34% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SAIC's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
INTC has the edge over SAIC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SAIC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SAIC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
SAIC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.73 | +25% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.56 | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.89 | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.70 | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.80 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.24 | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.11 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.17 | -19% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.96 | -37% |
SAIC has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC has the edge over SAIC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SAIC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.9B | +6.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +1.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | -4.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | -5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | -2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +1.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +5.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | +4.3% |
SAIC has the edge over INTC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.1% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.4% | +2.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9% | -1.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.5% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | +3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.1% | +0.5 points |
SAIC's operating margin was 8.1% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over SAIC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SAIC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $131M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $118M | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $250M | +150% |
| Q4 2025 | $120M | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $115M | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $92M | 0% |
| Q1 2025 | $100M | +92% |
| Q4 2024 | $134M | +38% |
SAIC's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $619M over the past year, up 40% from the year before.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
SAIC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.7% | -1.2M shares |
| 1 year | -8.5% | -4M shares |
| 3 years | -21% | -11.1M shares |
| 5 years | -27% | -15.6M shares |
| Available history | -27% | -15.5M shares |
SAIC has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $98M |
| Q2 2026 | $188M |
| Q1 2026 | $98M |
| Q4 2025 | $95M |
| Q3 2025 | $110M |
| Q2 2025 | $142M |
| Q1 2025 | $133M |
| Q4 2024 | $121M |
SAIC spent $479M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 5.3% from the year before.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC has the edge over SAIC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SAIC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
SAIC's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
SAIC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 70.4 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 86.2 | Overbought |
SAIC's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SAIC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SAIC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 28x | 37% below |
| PE % | 45 | 35 | 10 pts above |
SAIC is trading at 18x earnings, a 37% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.
SAIC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $140.1 | 8% above |
| 20 week MA | $129.7 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $111.9 | 35% above |
| 100 week MA | $109.9 | 38% above |
| 200 week MA | $115.1 | 31% above |
SAIC has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over SAIC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SAIC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $88.3 | $96.8 | +9.7% |
| 2021 | $96.8 | $82.4 | -15% |
| 2022 | $82.4 | $109.5 | +33% |
| 2023 | $109.5 | $124.3 | +14% |
| 2024 | $124.3 | $111.1 | -11% |
| 2025 | $111.1 | $102.7 | -7.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $102.7 | $151.2 | +47% |
SAIC is up 47% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.