INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over PAGS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PAGS

PagSeguro Digital Ltd.

50
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

PAGS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

PAGS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Under pressure
Weak

PAGS's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PAGS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current5.8x$7.82—
Cheap7.1x$9.52+22%
Fair12x$16.50+111%
Expensive51x$67.68+766%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAGS's PE is 5.8x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over PAGS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PAGS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PAGS's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PAGS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PAGS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$11.47
Downside-32%$5.33

Calculated from the latest close: $7.82 on Nov 12.

PAGS trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

PAGS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.86Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.05Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.34
Q3 2023: $0.86Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.05Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.34+5.5%
Q1 2026$1.31+6.5%
Q4 2025$1.28+7.6%
Q3 2025$1.31+17%
Q2 2025$1.27+21%
Q1 2025$1.23+26%
Q4 2024$1.19+31%
Q3 2024$1.12+30%

PAGS has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

PAGS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $709MQ4 2023: $765MQ1 2024: $752MQ2 2024: $792MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $896MQ1 2025: $843MQ2 2025: $876MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $950MQ1 2026: $840MQ2 2026: $874M
Q3 2023: $709MQ4 2023: $765MQ1 2024: $752MQ2 2024: $792MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $896MQ1 2025: $843MQ2 2025: $876MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $950MQ1 2026: $840MQ2 2026: $874M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$873.8M-0.2%
Q1 2026$840.1M-0.4%
Q4 2025$949.7M+6%
Q3 2025$880.1M+4.5%
Q2 2025$875.7M+11%
Q1 2025$843.5M+12%
Q4 2024$895.7M+17%
Q3 2024$842.3M+19%

PAGS has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over PAGS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PAGS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: $335MQ2 2024: −$930MQ3 2024: −$228MQ4 2024: −$146MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $306MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: −$579MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $140M
Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: $335MQ2 2024: −$930MQ3 2024: −$228MQ4 2024: −$146MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $306MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: −$579MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $140M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$139.8M-54%
Q1 2026$39.4M-61%
Q4 2025-$579.5M-$433.3M
Q3 2025$299M+$527.2M
Q2 2025$305.5M+$1.2B
Q1 2025$101.6M-70%
Q4 2024-$146.2M-314%
Q3 2024-$228.1M-387%

PAGS's free cash flow was −$101M over the past year, against $33M the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

PAGS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 324MQ4 2023: 320MQ1 2024: 321MQ2 2024: 322MQ3 2024: 321MQ4 2024: 314MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 301MQ3 2025: 295MQ4 2025: 290MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 279M
Q3 2023: 324MQ4 2023: 320MQ1 2024: 321MQ2 2024: 322MQ3 2024: 321MQ4 2024: 314MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 301MQ3 2025: 295MQ4 2025: 290MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 279M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.4M shares
1 year-7.1%-21.2M shares
3 years-14%-46M shares
5 years-15%-50.9M shares
Available history-15%-51.1M shares

PAGS has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC has the edge over PAGS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PAGS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.7x
Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.7xHigh
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20254.5xHigh
Q2 20254.8xHigh
Q1 20254.7xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh
Q3 20245.1xHigh

PAGS's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

PAGS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.9Neutral
Stochastic7.0Oversold

PAGS's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PAGS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPAGSSector medianRelative
PE5.8x28x79% below
PE %13534 pts below

PAGS is trading at 5.8x earnings, a 79% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over PAGS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PAGS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.3817% below
20 week MA$9.2916% below
50 week MA$9.6919% below
100 week MA$9.1114% below
200 week MA$9.7620% below

PAGS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over PAGS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PAGS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.5$53.8+56%
2021$53.8$26.7-50%
2022$26.7$8.62-68%
2023$8.62$12.5+45%
2024$12.5$6.38-49%
2025$6.38$9.77+53%
2026 YTD$9.77$7.82-20%

PAGS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.

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