INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ON

ON Semiconductor Corporation

71
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

ON has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

ON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ON's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ON PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE92x185x277x369x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE92x185x277x369x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$26.87-64%
Forward17x$73.73—
Fair28x$47.27-36%
Current44x$73.73—
Expensive68x$113+53%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ON's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ON, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails ON on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$123.14
Downside-18%$60.14

Calculated from the latest close: $73.73 on Nov 12.

ON has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.89Q1 2024: $4.90Q2 2024: $4.39Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $3.63Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.07Q4 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.29Q2 2026: $1.36Q3 2026: $1.51Q4 2026: $1.67Forward: $4.43
Q4 2023: $4.89Q1 2024: $4.90Q2 2024: $4.39Q3 2024: $4.03Q4 2024: $3.63Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.07Q4 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.29Q2 2026: $1.36Q3 2026: $1.51Q4 2026: $1.67Forward: $4.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.43+165%
Q3 2026$1.67+117%
Q2 2026$1.51+41%
Q1 2026$1.36-5.6%
Q4 2025$0.29-92%
Q3 2025$0.77-81%
Q2 2025$1.07-76%
Q1 2025$1.44-71%
Q4 2024$3.63-26%

ON has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC has the edge over ON on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6BQ4 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+11%
Q2 2026$1.6B+9.2%
Q1 2026$1.5B+4.7%
Q4 2025$1.5B-11%
Q3 2025$1.6B-12%
Q2 2025$1.5B-15%
Q1 2025$1.4B-22%
Q4 2024$1.7B-15%

ON's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1.7B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over ON on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $221MQ1 2024: $276MQ2 2024: $208MQ3 2024: $294MQ4 2024: $435MQ2 2025: $455MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $372MQ4 2025: $485MQ2 2026: $217MQ3 2026: $425MQ4 2026: $489M
Q4 2023: $221MQ1 2024: $276MQ2 2024: $208MQ3 2024: $294MQ4 2024: $435MQ2 2025: $455MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $372MQ4 2025: $485MQ2 2026: $217MQ3 2026: $425MQ4 2026: $489M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$488.6M+31%
Q2 2026$425.4M+301%
Q1 2026$217.2M-52%
Q4 2025$485.4M+12%
Q3 2025$372.4M+27%
Q2 2025$106.1M-49%
Q1 2025$454.7M+65%
Q4 2024$434.8M+97%

ON generated $1.6B in free cash flow over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

ON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 447MQ1 2024: 437MQ2 2024: 433MQ3 2024: 432MQ4 2024: 433MQ2 2025: 421MQ3 2025: 415MQ4 2025: 408MQ4 2025: 412MQ2 2026: 394MQ3 2026: 404MQ4 2026: 397M
Q4 2023: 447MQ1 2024: 437MQ2 2024: 433MQ3 2024: 432MQ4 2024: 433MQ2 2025: 421MQ3 2025: 415MQ4 2025: 408MQ4 2025: 412MQ2 2026: 394MQ3 2026: 404MQ4 2026: 397M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-7.1M shares
1 year-2.6%-10.7M shares
3 years-12%-53.4M shares
5 years-9.8%-43.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-18.7M shares

ON has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

ON Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7xQ4 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.3xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7xQ4 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

ON has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.6Neutral
Stochastic25.8Neutral

ON's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ON PE vs Technology Sector

MetricONSector medianRelative
PE44x28x58% above
PE %673532 pts above

ON is trading at 44x earnings, a 58% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

ON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$74.10.5% below
20 week MA$78.35.9% below
50 week MA$78.25.7% below
100 week MA$63.915% above
200 week MA$71.03.8% above

ON has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 3.8% above its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over ON on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.5$32.0+31%
2021$32.0$66.8+109%
2022$66.8$62.4-6.5%
2023$62.4$83.5+34%
2024$83.5$66.0-21%
2025$66.0$54.9-17%
2026 YTD$54.9$73.7+34%

ON is up 34% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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